Match Analysis: Nantes vs Lille – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: La Beaujoire Stadium
Game Overview
Nantes hosts Lille in a French Ligue One match where Lille is favored due to recent performance and head-to-head statistics. Nantes has struggled in recent games, failing to win their last four Ligue One encounters, while Lille, despite their own struggles, appear more consistent overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nantes has not won in their last four Ligue One games, while Lille has not achieved success either, but they look more convincing in head-to-head matchups.
- Only two of the last eleven meetings between Nantes and Lille produced more than two goals.
- There is no significant injury news for either team that would impact the prediction.
- Both teams are motivated to pick up points, but Lille's recent performances slightly edge Nantes.
- Both teams are highly motivated after recent disappointing results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille: -132, Nantes: 340, Draw: 275 | Lille | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
| Spread | Lille: -0.75 100, Nantes: 75 -120 | Lille -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 44% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, a victory for Lille or a draw seems more likely than a win for Nantes.
Predicted Score: Nantes 1-2 Lille