Match Analysis: Nice vs Auxerre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice
Game Overview
This Ligue 1 matchup pits home side Nice, recently struggling with form and currently bottom of the standings after one game, against Auxerre, who have shown resilience with an unbeaten streak against Nice and some recent positive results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nice have lost their last 3 clashes against Auxerre and started the season poorly with a loss. Auxerre are unbeaten in 4 of their last 6 matches overall and hold a psychological advantage in recent H2H.
- Auxerre have not lost to Nice in their last 5 meetings, winning or drawing each time, indicating a tactical edge and confidence over the hosts.
- No major injury news affecting either side significantly was reported, suggesting lineups will be near full strength for both.
- Playing at home benefits Nice but their recent poor form and pressure of a negative start could impact performance adversely. Weather and pitch conditions typical for August in Nice are expected, offering neutral impact.
- Nice are under pressure to improve from a poor start, which could motivate them strongly, but may also induce errors. Auxerreβs confidence from unbeaten runs and positive head-to-head form may sustain their focus and competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nice: -157, Draw: +305, Auxerre: +385 | Nice | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Nice -0.75: -122, Auxerre +75: +102 | Nice -0.75 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nice -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nice to win on the moneyline with a cautious approach on the spread; expect a moderately defensive game with under 2.75 total goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1