Match Analysis: Pouya Rahmani vs Slim Trabelsi – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: United Arab Emirates (PFL Road to Dubai Prelims)
Game Overview
The heavyweight MMA clash between Pouya Rahmani and Slim Trabelsi is a prelim fight within the Professional Fighters League (PFL) 'Road to Dubai' event. Rahmani is the favorite at the sportsbooks with moneyline odds around -300 versus Slim Trabelsi's underdog status at +250. Both fighters stand roughly equal in height and reach (Rahmani 188 cm height / 1.88m reach; Trabelsi 191 cm height / 1.91m reach) with Rahmani showing a slight edge in betting markets.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pouya Rahmani shows stronger recent form with superior technical striking and grappling stats according to pre-fight analytics. Rahmani has demonstrated better control in the octagon with higher takedown success and effective striking accuracy.
- No prior recorded head-to-head matches between Rahmani and Trabelsi, increasing unpredictability but current advantages lie with Rahmani based on comparative fight history against similar opponents.
- No reported injuries or physical concerns for either fighter leading into the fight, allowing both to perform at expected peak condition.
- Event location in the UAE favors neutral ground without travel disadvantages; Rahmani may benefit slightly from advanced PFL infrastructure and support.
- As a prelim heavyweight bout within a high-profile PFL tournament, both fighters exhibit high motivation; Rahmani, positioned as a favorite, carries added pressure to maintain form and advance, likely fueling higher focus.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pouya Rahmani: -300, Slim Trabelsi: +250 | Pouya Rahmani | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Pouya Rahmani: -1.5 (+230), Slim Trabelsi: +1.5 (-270) | Pouya Rahmani -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -130, Under 1.5 rounds: +110 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pouya Rahmani -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pouya Rahmani to win via moneyline with a fight extending beyond 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Rahmani wins by decision or stoppage after round 2