Match Analysis: SK Sturm Graz vs Rangers FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: UPC-Arena, Graz, Austria

Game Overview

UEFA Europa League group stage match between home side SK Sturm Graz and visitors Rangers FC. Both teams have recent mixed form with Sturm Graz slightly favored due to home advantage and recent stronger domestic performances. Rangers have struggled somewhat in Europe but maintain quality and motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sturm Graz’s recent form includes a solid 1-0 win at home against Hartberg and a strong 2-0 away victory over Salzburg, showing good offensive and defensive capabilities. Rangers had a recent 2-1 away league win but lost 0-1 at home to Genk in Europa League and a historic 0-6 loss in UCL qualifiers, indicating some European inconsistency.
• No prior competitive matches between Sturm Graz and Rangers, so no direct H2H data to influence prediction.
• No significant injury news publicly available for either side ahead of the match, both squads expected to be near full strength.
• Home advantage for Sturm Graz at the UPC-Arena, with travel and climate familiarities favoring the Austrian side. Rangers face travel fatigue from recent fixtures but have experienced European travel.
• Both teams are motivated, fighting for points in Europa League group stages, but Sturm Graz have recent positive momentum and home support boosting confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	sturm_graz: 135, rangers: 185, draw: 245	SK Sturm Graz	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	sturm_graz_-0.25: 102, rangers_+25: -132	SK Sturm Graz -0.25	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	over_2.75: -112, under_2.75: -118	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	SK Sturm Graz 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: SK Sturm Graz at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: SK Sturm Graz to win; Spread: SK Sturm Graz -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: FC Midtjylland vs SK Sturm Graz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: MCH Arena, Herning, Denmark

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage opener features FC Midtjylland hosting SK Sturm Graz. Both teams have shown strong recent domestic form with Midtjylland winning four of their last five matches and Sturm Graz securing a 2-0 away win in their latest fixture. Midtjylland’s home advantage and recent 3-0 away victory boost their confidence, while Sturm Graz has a historical edge in head-to-head results but struggled in recent European outings.

Key Factors to Consider

• FC Midtjylland is in excellent form domestically, boasting four wins out of five games and a commanding recent away win (3-0 vs Aalborg BK). Sturm Graz also comes off positive momentum with a 2-0 away win but has struggled in Europa League previously, including a 0-3 loss to Sporting CP.
• Historically, Sturm Graz holds a slight edge with 2 wins in the last 3 encounters, but recent form and home advantage favor Midtjylland.
• No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, suggesting both sides will field their strongest lineups.
• Playing at MCH Arena provides Midtjylland a strong home atmosphere. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral without extreme factors.
• Both teams motivated to start the group stage positively with strong domestic form backing their confidence. Midtjylland's desire to assert home dominance contrasts with Sturm Graz's aim to overturn recent European setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Midtjylland -142, SK Sturm Graz +345, Draw +320	FC Midtjylland	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	FC Midtjylland -0.75 -114, SK Sturm Graz +75 -106	FC Midtjylland -0.75	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 3 -121, Under 3 +101	Over 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	FC Midtjylland 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Midtjylland at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for FC Midtjylland

Predicted Score: 2-1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction	Vancouver Whitecaps FC Win	-159	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
AZ Alkmaar vs. FC Zwolle Prediction	AZ Alkmaar Win	-312	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
FC Midtjylland vs. SK Sturm Graz Prediction	FC Midtjylland Win	-142	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +267

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $73.32