Match Analysis: PAOK vs SK Brann – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki, Greece

Game Overview

This UEFA Europa League League Phase Matchday 5 clash sees PAOK host SK Brann at Toumba Stadium. PAOK, currently ranked 24th in the competition, faces Brann, who sit 31st. The match is critical for both teams as they seek points to improve their standings and secure qualification for the knockout stages. PAOK is favored due to their home advantage and stronger recent form, while Brann will look to upset the hosts and boost their slim chances of progressing.

Key Factors to Consider

• PAOK enters the match with a solid domestic and European record, having won 12 of their last 15 competitive fixtures. Their home form is particularly strong, with only one loss in their last 10 home games. SK Brann, on the other hand, has struggled away from Norway, winning just 2 of their last 10 away matches in Europe. Brann's defense has been leaky, conceding at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 away games.
• PAOK and SK Brann have never met in competitive European fixtures. This is their first encounter, so there is no direct H2H history to analyze.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
• PAOK will benefit from a passionate home crowd at Toumba Stadium, which is known for its intimidating atmosphere. The weather forecast for Thessaloniki is clear with mild temperatures, favorable for attacking football. Brann will face the challenge of adapting to a hostile environment and a different style of play compared to their domestic league.
• PAOK is motivated to secure a top-8 finish and automatic qualification for the knockout rounds. A win here would significantly boost their chances. SK Brann, currently outside the qualification spots, needs a positive result to keep their hopes alive, but their motivation may be tempered by a tough away fixture and a long season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	PAOK: -175, SK Brann: 430, Draw: 325	PAOK to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	PAOK: -1 -102, SK Brann: 1 -118	PAOK -1	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 3 100, Under: 3 -120	Over 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	PAOK 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PAOK is expected to control the game and create more scoring opportunities, especially in the first half. Brann will likely sit deep and look to counter, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed. A home win is the most likely outcome, with PAOK scoring at least two goals.

Predicted Score: PAOK 2-1 SK Brann

Match Analysis: Bologna vs SK Brann – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Bologna and SK Brann will take place at Bologna's home ground, Renato Dall'Ara, on November 6, 2025, starting at 21:00 CET (20:00 UTC). Bologna enters as a clear favorite, supported by home advantage and superior squad depth in this European competition setting.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bologna has shown stronger form and squad quality in recent Europa League and domestic fixtures, while SK Brann faces tougher challenges adapting to the higher pace and tactical demands of European competition. Bologna benefits from a more experienced squad with Italian and international players familiar with continental play.
• There is limited prior direct competitive history between Bologna and SK Brann in European club competitions, suggesting no significant psychological advantage from past encounters.
• Current lineups indicate both teams have their main squads available without significant injury concerns reported for key players of either side in this fixture.
• Home advantage for Bologna at Renato Dall'Ara, combined with the travel and fatigue factors for SK Brann coming from Norway, could impact SK Brann's performance negatively. Weather conditions are typical for early November in Italy, posing no unusual challenge.
• Bologna is motivated to consolidate their Europa League group standing ahead of later rounds and capitalize on home advantage, while SK Brann aims to secure points on the road to keep qualification hopes alive, which could lead to a disciplined defensive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bologna: -265, SK Brann: 625, Draw: 400	Bologna to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Bologna: -1.25 at -130, SK Brann: +1.25 at 100	Bologna to cover -1.25 spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3 goals: 100, Under 3 goals: -130	Under 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bologna -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bologna at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna is predicted to win given their stronger form, home advantage, and favorable odds. The game may see a moderate to high number of goals given Bologna's attacking potential and the open style SK Brann may adopt to chase the game.

Predicted Score: 2-0

Match Analysis: SK Brann vs Rangers FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 23 October 2025
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Brann Stadion, Bergen, Norway

Game Overview

SK Brann vs Rangers FC is a UEFA Europa League match where SK Brann will face Rangers FC at Brann Stadion. The match is significant for both teams as they seek to advance in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rangers FC generally performs better in major competitions, but SK Brann has the advantage of home support.
• Historical data is limited, but recent form might favor Rangers FC.
• Recent injury reports are not detailed in the available data, but both teams should be generally fit.
• Weather conditions and travel could affect Rangers FC's performance.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Rangers FC might have more pressure due to their UEFA standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	SK Brann: 117, Rangers FC: 212, Draw: 250	Rangers FC or Draw	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Rangers FC: 25 -115, SK Brann: -0.25 -115	Rangers FC +0.25	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -112, Under: 2.75 -118	Over 2.75	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rangers FC 9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rangers FC at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rangers FC to win or draw due to their overall performance in European competitions.

Predicted Score: 1-2 in favor of Rangers FC

Match Analysis: SK Brann vs FC Utrecht – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Brann Stadion, Bergen, Norway

Game Overview

SK Brann will host FC Utrecht in a group stage UEFA Europa League match. Brann has shown solid domestic form recently and some success in Europa League qualifiers, while Utrecht has struggled for wins in both their league and Europa League, with several recent losses and draws affecting their momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brann comes in on a positive note with recent wins in the Norwegian Eliteserien and a strong 4-0 Europa League qualifying playoff win. Utrecht has underperformed lately, suffering consecutive losses in both the domestic Eredivisie and Europa League matches, with 3 straight 1-0 defeats and draws indicating offensive struggles.
• No recent direct head-to-head matches are documented between SK Brann and FC Utrecht, indicating limited historical encounters in European competition. This lack of prior meetings means tactical unknowns may play a bigger role.
• No specific injury data currently available from the sources, making injury impact assessment uncertain.
• Brann will benefit from home advantage at Brann Stadion in Norway. The travel and unfamiliar conditions could slightly disadvantage Utrecht. Weather and pitch conditions typical in early October in Bergen may favor the home side's playing style.
• Brann is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and build on their recent European successes to progress in the Europa League group stage. Utrecht will aim to improve on poor form and secure valuable away points to keep their campaign alive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	SK Brann: 1.13, FC Utrecht: 2.25, Draw: 2.45	SK Brann to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	SK Brann -0.25: -122, FC Utrecht +25: -108	SK Brann -0.25	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	SK Brann 38%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: SK Brann at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

SK Brann is favored to edge a narrow victory due to better recent form and home advantage. The match is expected to be competitive but with limited scoring opportunities.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Lille vs SK Brann – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-25
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille, France

Game Overview

Lille, hosting SK Brann in their UEFA Europa League match, enters ranked 17th globally compared to Brann's 31st. Lille aims to recover from recent domestic setbacks including a 3-0 defeat to Lens, while SK Brann seeks to capitalize on their underdog status in this opening group stage fixture. The game will be played at Lille's home ground, Stade Pierre Mauroy, providing them a familiar environment and home crowd advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lille shows stronger overall team performance and quality with higher global ranking and home advantage, but recent form shows vulnerability after a significant league loss. SK Brann, although lower ranked, may benefit from motivation to prove themselves on a bigger stage despite limited European experience.
• Historical direct encounters between Lille and SK Brann are limited or nonexistent, making this an inaugural competitive match-up. This lack of past meetings introduces uncertainty but favors Lille given their experience in European competitions.
• No specific up-to-date injury reports available for either team, suggesting both squads can field strongest lineups. Monitoring closer to matchday is advisable for last-minute changes.
• Weather and pitch conditions at the Stade Pierre Mauroy are expected to be standard with no significant disruptions forecasted. Lille's home crowd support is likely to influence momentum positively.
• Lille is motivated to avoid a poor start in the Europa League group stage post domestic setbacks, while SK Brann is driven by the opportunity to upset a higher-ranked side and advance their European credentials.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lille: -234, SK Brann: 625, Draw: 373	Lille win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Lille -1.25: -104, SK Brann +1.25: -116	Lille -1.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -124, Under 2.75: 104	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lille -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lille is favored to win due to superior team quality, home advantage, and motivation to recover form. Expect Lille to control the game with tactical discipline and achieve a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1