Match Analysis: Simone Patrizi vs Chris Bungard – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Newcastle, England

Game Overview

This lightweight Cage Warriors 193 main card bout features Chris Bungard from Scotland facing Simone Patrizi from Italy. Both fighters bring experience with Bungard having 31 pro fights (21-10-0) dominated by submissions, while Patrizi holds a solid record and similar skill set.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chris Bungard has demonstrated a strong grappling and submission game, with 55% of his wins by submission and an average fight time indicating grinding late rounds. Patrizi's recent form shows resilience but less finishing power. Both fighters are well-prepared for a 3-round fight.
• No direct previous matchups between Bungard and Patrizi are found, making this a tactical contest of styles and adjustments in real time.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fighting in Newcastle favors Bungard since it is in his home region promoting possible crowd support. Patrizi is traveling internationally, which can impact acclimation but is experienced enough to handle.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a signature win on a prominent Cage Warriors card. Bungard seeks to leverage home advantage while Patrizi aims to boost his standing in a major lightweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chris Bungard: -115, Simone Patrizi: -125	Chris Bungard	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds: +130, Simone Patrizi +1.5 rounds: -150	Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Simone Patrizi -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simone Patrizi at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Bungard via decision

Predicted Score: Chris Bungard wins by unanimous decision after three rounds

Match Analysis: Adam Shelley vs Simone Patrizi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Adam Shelley and Simone Patrizi face off in an MMA match as part of Cage Warriors. Both fighters are closely matched, with Shelley slightly favored in some aspects but Patrizi having a strong reputation as well.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have shown strong skills in their respective careers. Shelley's recent performances indicate a solid ground game, while Patrizi is known for his aggressive striking.
• There is no available head-to-head data between these fighters, making it a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is part of a significant event, which might add pressure but also provides a high level of motivation for both fighters.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance their careers in Cage Warriors.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-110 for Adam Shelley, -120 for Simone Patrizi	Adam Shelley	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Adam Shelley is slightly favored due to his recent form, but Simone Patrizi's aggressive style could pose a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Adam Shelley