Match Analysis: Kasim Aras vs Simon Biyong – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: OKTAGON 78 event venue (Germany)
Game Overview
Heavyweight main card MMA bout between Kasim Aras and Simon Biyong at OKTAGON 78, featuring two well-matched fighters with contrasting styles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Simon Biyong has shown consistent form with a dynamic striking style and reach advantage, while Kasim Aras relies on grappling and ground control. Recent performances favor Biyong's striking efficiency and defensive skills.
- No recorded previous bouts between Kasim Aras and Simon Biyong, making this their first head-to-head meeting.
- No publicly reported injuries to either fighter detected before the fight, allowing both to compete at full capacity.
- Fight taking place in Germany possibly neutral ground for both; no clear location-based advantage. Odds currently favor Simon Biyong modestly.
- Both fighters motivated to establish themselves strongly in the heavyweight division; Biyong’s recent positive momentum may provide a slight psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kasim Aras: +105, Simon Biyong: -125 | Simon Biyong | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Simon Biyong -1.5 rounds: -115, Kasim Aras +1.5 rounds: -105 | Simon Biyong -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Simon Biyong -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Simon Biyong at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Simon Biyong to win by decision
Predicted Score: Simon Biyong wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds