Match Analysis: Shurretta Metcalf vs Krystal Rosado – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed Venue

Game Overview

A competitive boxing match between Shurretta Metcalf, a technically skilled and experienced fighter, and Krystal Rosado, known for her aggressive style and power punch. Metcalf is priced as the underdog but offers tactical advantages in defense and adaptability, while Rosado is a strong favorite due to recent form and power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Metcalf shows strong technical ability and ring adaptability but has been facing tough opponents recently. Rosado exhibits powerful offense and aggression, with a better recent winning streak reflecting peak form.
• No direct head-to-head data available; fight likely first or early encounter between these boxers. Metcalf's strategic defense could neutralize Rosado's aggression.
• No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are fighting at full fitness.
• Neutral venue with no clear home advantage; recent odds movements show sharp support for Rosado, indicating market confidence in her victory.
• Both fighters motivated—Metcalf to upset the favorite and improve her standing; Rosado to confirm her status as the favorite and capitalize on power punching to secure a decisive win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +225, away: -300	Away (Krystal Rosado)	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Metcalf +1.5 rounds: +150, Rosado -1.5 rounds: -180	Rosado -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Krystal Rosado -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Krystal Rosado at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Krystal Rosado to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Rosado wins by 6th round KO

Match Analysis: Cherneka Johnson vs Shurretta Metcalf – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-11
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, US

Game Overview

Cherneka Johnson challenges Shurretta Metcalf for the IB Bantamweight title with the vacant WBC and WBO bantamweight titles also on the line. The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds and takes place in a high-profile setting alongside the Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano 3 card at Madison Square Garden. Johnson steps in as a late replacement, adding an interesting dynamic to the matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cherneka Johnson holds a record of 17-2 with 7 KOs and has maintained activity averaging a fight every 8 months, with recent fights lasting close to full distance (9.3 rounds average). Shurretta Metcalf, with a record of 14-4-1 and 2 KOs, is the reigning IB champion and was originally scheduled to face a different opponent but retained her readiness for this bout.
• There is no documented previous head-to-head fight between Cherneka Johnson and Shurretta Metcalf, making this a fresh encounter without direct comparative data.
• No reported injuries on either side leading up to the fight. Metcalf was originally to fight another opponent who withdrew due to pregnancy; Johnson stepped in without injury concerns reported.
• The bout is held at Madison Square Garden, giving Metcalf some advantage as the defending champion on home soil. The fight is part of a strong all-female card gaining significant attention, potentially raising motivation and pressure on both fighters.
• Metcalf aims to defend her IBF title and claim the vacant WBC and WBO belts, adding to her championship legacy. Johnson, as a late replacement, has a major opportunity to claim multiple titles, likely increasing her drive to capitalize on this chance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cherneka Johnson: -400, Shurretta Metcalf: 300	Cherneka Johnson to win	High
Spread	Johnson -1.5 rounds: -150, Metcalf +1.5 rounds: +130	Johnson to win by more than 1.5 rounds	Medium-High
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -110, Under 8.5 rounds: -110	Over 8.5 rounds	Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cherneka Johnson -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cherneka Johnson at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cherneka Johnson is favored to win by decision over 10 rounds due to her recent consistent activity, durability shown in longer fights, and strong technical skills. Metcalf is a solid champion but the betting line (-400 for Johnson) undervalues Johnson’s readiness and momentum entering this fight as a top contender.

Predicted Score: Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds