Match Analysis: Starling Castillo vs Shinard Bunch – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: TBD
Game Overview
Starling Castillo faces Shinard Bunch in a boxing match where Castillo is a moderate favorite based on recent betting market movements and historical form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Starling Castillo has shown consistent performance with slight upward momentum in betting value (+10% recently) and a stronger closing market price compared to Bunch, whose odds have shifted but remain underdog territory.
- No recent direct matchups recorded between Castillo and Bunch, limiting head-to-head statistical impact.
- No reported injuries or fitness concerns affecting either fighter at this time.
- No significant external factors such as weather, travel, or venue advantage appear to influence the match notably.
- Castillo appears more motivated and is positioned as the favorite, indicating stronger backing and confidence from the market and potentially his camp.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Starling Castillo -190, Shinard Bunch +150 | Starling Castillo | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Not explicitly provided; implied standard boxing spread -1.5 rounds for Castillo | Starling Castillo -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Not explicitly provided; typical over/under line around 7.5 rounds | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Starling Castillo -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Starling Castillo at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Starling Castillo to win by moneyline and cover the spread, with a moderately high likelihood of a fight ending under the expected rounds total.
Predicted Score: Starling Castillo wins by TKO in round 6