Match Analysis: Joe Taylor vs Shealor Ladd – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 3:25 AM UTC
• Location: Seneca Niagara Resort and Casino, Niagara Falls, New York, USA

Game Overview

Joe Taylor (6-2) faces undefeated prospect Shealor Ladd (3-0) in a Light Heavyweight bout at LFA 223. The matchup features a local veteran against a rising star, with a notable 19-year age gap. Taylor, a Glory Kickboxing veteran, is coming off two consecutive losses, while Ladd has won all three of his pro fights in 2025 by TKO. The fight is expected to be a clash of styles: Taylor’s striking experience versus Ladd’s aggressive, finishing-oriented approach.

Key Factors to Consider

• Joe Taylor has a solid record but has lost his last two fights, indicating possible decline or vulnerability. Shealor Ladd is undefeated with three TKO wins in 2025, showing strong momentum and finishing ability. Both fighters are making their fourth LFA appearance, but Ladd’s recent activity and knockout streak give him an edge in current form.
• No prior meetings between Taylor and Ladd. This is their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Niagara Falls, NY, giving Taylor a hometown advantage. However, Ladd’s younger age and recent knockout streak may offset local support.
• Taylor is motivated to rebound from two losses and prove he can still compete at a high level. Ladd is motivated to continue his undefeated streak and establish himself as a top prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Joe Taylor +400, Shealor Ladd -700	Shealor Ladd	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over/Under 2.5 rounds: Not available	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shealor Ladd -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Shealor Ladd at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shealor Ladd is favored to win due to his undefeated record, recent knockout streak, and younger age. Joe Taylor’s experience and local support could make the fight competitive, but Ladd’s finishing ability and momentum suggest he is more likely to win, possibly by stoppage.

Predicted Score: Shealor Ladd wins by TKO in the second round

Match Analysis: Shealor Ladd vs Pedro Lay Jr. – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tachi Palace Casino Resort

Game Overview

Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr. are both undefeated up-and-comers set to face off at LFA 213, each looking to maintain their perfect records. Ladd is billed as a dangerous opponent, while Lay Jr. also boasts two finishes, hinting at a likely finish rather than a decision[1][3]. The bout is scheduled for three rounds in what could be a high-paced, exciting matchup between emerging talents.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shealor Ladd has a 1-0-0 record, while Pedro Lay Jr. is 2-0-0. Both fighters are unblemished, but neither has faced top-tier competition at this stage in their careers[1]. Ladd appears to be the bookmakers' favorite, reflecting slightly higher confidence in his abilities, though both fighters have shown strong early promise.
• No previous encounters between Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr. exist. Both are making a significant step up in exposure at this LFA event.
• No injury information is available for either fighter at this time.
• The fight is scheduled at Tachi Palace Casino Resort, a venue familiar to LFA events, so neither fighter should have a notable location advantage. Neither appears to have significant travel or time-zone disruptions.
• Both are undefeated, so there’s high motivation to keep their records intact. However, Ladd is fighting at home in the U.S., while Lay Jr. is not, which may add pressure or motivation on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pedro Lay Jr.: +185, Shealor Ladd: -220	Shealor Ladd to win, but at relatively steep odds. Pedro Lay Jr. offers value for those confident in an upset due to his finishing ability.	Moderate (65%)
Over/under	Over 1.5: -115, Under 1.5: -115	Over 1.5 rounds given both fighters’ records, but with both having early finishes in their pedigrees, the Under is a live bet.	Moderate (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shealor Ladd 85%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Shealor Ladd at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shealor Ladd is favored by bookmakers, likely due to a perceived technical edge, regional familiarity, or training camp reputation, given both fighters have similar records. However, Pedro Lay Jr. has finished both of his previous opponents, suggesting he’s dangerous early. Given the available data, Ladd is a sensible favorite, but Lay Jr. is a live underdog with finishing ability.

Predicted Score: Shealor Ladd by TKO/KO in Round 2

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – July 26, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Isaac Thomson vs. Jeremy Henry Prediction	Isaac Thomson	-700	425%
Amanda Ribas vs. Tabatha Ricci Prediction	Over 2.5	-550	125%
Shealor Ladd vs. Pedro Lay Jr. Prediction	Shealor Ladd	-220	85%

Combined Odds: -104 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $39.29