Match Analysis: Shay Ingram vs Wellington Lopes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between Shay Ingram and Wellington Lopes is set for November 22, 2025 at Cage Warriors 198 in Manchester. Both fighters bring solid records with Lopes having more experience and a higher number of wins. Ingram is undefeated but with fewer fights, while Lopes shows a more well-rounded finishing ability, especially by KO/TKO.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shay Ingram stands undefeated with 3 wins (1 submission, 2 decisions) and no losses, indicating consistent performance but limited professional exposure. Wellington Lopes has 7 wins with 4 losses, featuring 3 KOs and 3 decisions, showing effective striking and finishing power.
• This is the first recorded matchup between Shay Ingram and Wellington Lopes; no direct head-to-head data is available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match; both made or expected to make weight at lightweight (155 lbs).
• The event is hosted at the BEC Arena in Manchester, which could be considered a neutral location or slightly favorable to Ingram depending on fan distribution. No other notable externalities reported.
• Ingram is motivated to defend his undefeated record and prove himself against a seasoned opponent. Lopes aims to leverage his experience to break Ingram's winning streak and regain momentum after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shay Ingram: -460, Wellington Lopes: 305	Shay Ingram to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Shay Ingram -1.5 rounds: -150, Wellington Lopes +1.5 rounds: +130	Shay Ingram to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shay Ingram -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Shay Ingram at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Wellington Lopes' experience, knockout power, and higher total number of fights, he is favored to win despite longer odds. Shay Ingram's undefeated status and solid ground game present a strong challenge, but Lopes' finishing ability is likely to be decisive.

Predicted Score: Shay Ingram wins by decision (3 rounds)

Match Analysis: Shay Ingram vs Farukh Aligadzhiev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The match between Shay Ingram and Farukh Aligadzhiev at Cage Warriors 191 features two competitive fighters in the 155 lbs lightweight category. Shay Ingram, known for his powerful striking, is favored heavily by oddsmakers, reflecting his strong recent performances and technical striking advantage. Aligadzhiev, while viewed as the underdog, has shown resilience and diverse skills that could present challenges to Ingram. The bout promises a tactical striking battle with potential for ground exchanges, though the odds strongly favor Ingram to control the pace and outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shay Ingram has demonstrated superior recent form with a significant winning streak and effective striking, making him the dominant fighter statistically. Farukh Aligadzhiev has had mixed results but remains a tough competitor with a well-rounded skill set including grappling capabilities.
• This is the first recorded meeting between Shay Ingram and Farukh Aligadzhiev, so no direct head-to-head data is available. The comparative analysis favors Ingram based on recent performances and odds.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout, indicating both athletes are entering the fight in full health.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, Ingram's home country which might offer him psychological and crowd support advantages. The timing and venue are neutral with no extreme environmental factors expected to impact the fight.
• Ingram aims to maintain his dominant status in the lightweight division and further propel his career with a decisive win. Aligadzhiev, as the underdog, is motivated to upset expectations and establish himself as a notable contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shay Ingram: -950, Farukh Aligadzhiev: +650	Shay Ingram	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Shay Ingram: -3.5, Farukh Aligadzhiev: +3.5	Shay Ingram to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	over_1.5_rounds: -110, under_1.5_rounds: -110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shay Ingram -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Shay Ingram at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shay Ingram is predicted to win by decision or knockout, leveraging his striking dominance and control throughout the fight. Aligadzhiev's chances to secure a victory are lower but not negligible if he can capitalize on any ground opportunities or capitalize on rare mistakes by Ingram.

Predicted Score: Ingram wins via TKO round 2