Match Analysis: Nurullo Aliev vs Shaqueme Rock – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: ABHA Arena, Doha, Qatar
Game Overview
This lightweight bout features undefeated Nurullo Aliev (10-0, UFC 2-0) against Shaqueme Rock (12-1-1, UFC debut) at UFC Fight Night in Doha, Qatar. Aliev is known for his well-rounded, decision-oriented style, while Rock is a finisher with a strong grappling background. The fight is highly anticipated as Rock makes his UFC debut against a rising prospect.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nurullo Aliev has won all 10 of his professional fights, with 8 by decision and 2 by KO/TKO. He has shown consistency and adaptability in the UFC, defeating fighters like Joe Solecki and Rafael Alves. Shaqueme Rock has 12 wins, 9 by submission, 2 by KO/TKO, and 1 by decision, with only 1 loss and 1 draw. His record indicates a high finishing rate and elite grappling skills.
- Nurullo Aliev and Shaqueme Rock have no prior head-to-head history. This will be their first encounter.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to this bout.
- The fight takes place in Doha, Qatar, which may provide a neutral environment for both fighters. The event is part of a major UFC Fight Night, increasing the stakes and exposure for both competitors.
- Aliev is motivated to maintain his undefeated record and continue his rise in the lightweight division. Rock is eager to make a statement in his UFC debut and prove himself against a top prospect.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nurullo Aliev: -305, Shaqueme Rock: 235 | Shaqueme Rock | Not available |
| Spread | Nurullo Aliev: -1.5, Shaqueme Rock: 1.5 | Shaqueme Rock -1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 2.5, under: 2.5 | over 2.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shaqueme Rock 152% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Shaqueme Rock at 152% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Shaqueme Rock is favored to win due to his high finishing rate and elite grappling skills. However, Nurullo Aliev's undefeated record and decision-oriented style make him a tough opponent. The fight is likely to be competitive, with Rock having a slight edge.
Predicted Score: Shaqueme Rock wins by submission in the second round