Match Analysis: Shakur Stevenson vs William Zepeda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 12, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, New York City

Game Overview

Shakur Stevenson, the WBC lightweight champion, faces William Zepeda in a highly anticipated bout. This match is a classic skill vs power showdown, with Stevenson's defense and adaptability pitted against Zepeda's aggression and knockout threat.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shakur Stevenson boasts a strong defensive record and adaptability, while William Zepeda is known for his aggressive style and knockout power.
• No previous head-to-head fights between Stevensom and Zepeda.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight will be held in New York City, which may favor Stevenson due to home advantage.
• Zepeda is motivated to win his first world title, while Stevenson seeks to retain his championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Shakur Stevenson: -1200, William Zepeda: 650	Shakur Stevenson	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over: 10.5 -335, Under: 10.5 245	Over 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Shakur Stevenson -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 10.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Shakur Stevenson is likely to win by decision due to his defensive skills and adaptability, though Zepeda's power could lead to an upset if he forces a brawl.

Predicted Score: Shakur Stevenson by decision

Match Analysis: Shakur Stevenson vs Joshua Padley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Shakur Stevenson, the WBC lightweight champion, is set to defend his title against Josh Padley, a late replacement for Floyd Schofield, who withdrew due to illness. Stevenson is highly favored in this bout, given his undefeated record and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shakur Stevenson is undefeated with a record of 22-0, including 10 knockouts. He is ranked as ESPN's No. 9 pound-for-pound men's fighter and No. 3 in the lightweight rankings. Josh Padley, though unbeaten in 15 fights, lacks the power and speed of Stevenson.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between Shakur Stevenson and Josh Padley.
• Floyd Schofield's withdrawal due to illness led to Josh Padley stepping in as a replacement. There are no reported injuries for either Stevenson or Padley.
• The fight is part of a major event in Riyadh, which might add pressure but also provides a significant stage for both fighters. Stevenson's promoter, Eddie Hearn, likely chose Padley to ensure a win before a potential fight with Gervonta Davis.
• Stevenson is highly motivated to win and set up a future fight with Gervonta Davis. Padley, despite being an underdog, has a chance to pull off a major upset and boost his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not available	Shakur Stevenson	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Not available	Shakur Stevenson by TKO/KO	★★★★☆ 80%
Over_under	Not available	Under	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Shakur Stevenson is expected to win due to his superior skills and experience.

Predicted Score: Shakur Stevenson wins by TKO/KO in rounds 6-8.