Match Analysis: Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 3, 2025
- Time: 2:45 AM UTC
- Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa
Game Overview
Cameron Smotherman faces Serhiy Sidey in a UFC Bantamweight match. Smotherman enters with a record of 12-4, while Sidey has a record of 11-2. This fight features contrasting styles, with Smotherman focusing on significant strikes and Sidey having a notable submission threat.
Key Factors to Consider
- Smotherman has a higher strike volume, averaging 6.25 significant strikes per minute, compared to Sidey's 4.87. However, Sidey excels in submission attempts, averaging 1.4 every 15 minutes.
- This is their first match-up.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
- The fight's location at Wells Fargo Arena may have minimal impact as both fighters are accustomed to various environments.
- Both fighters will be highly motivated, given the stakes in the UFC Bantamweight division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cameron Smotherman: +114, Serhiy Sidey: -135 | Serhiy Sidey | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Cameron Smotherman: +3.5 -175, Serhiy Sidey: -3.5 125 | Serhiy Sidey | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -188, Under: 2.5 145 | Under | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Serhiy Sidey -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Serhiy Sidey is likely to win due to his strong submission game and slight edge in UFC performance so far.
Predicted Score: Decision victory for Serhiy Sidey