Match Analysis: Serhii Bohachuk vs Brandon Adams – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Game Overview
This is a rematch between Serhii Bohachuk and Brandon Adams in a 10-round super welterweight boxing contest. Bohachuk is a strong favorite with a high knockout rate and recent unanimous decision wins, while Adams is an underdog and coming off a split decision loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bohachuk holds a record of 26-2 with 24 KOs (92% KO rate); Adams is 25-4 with 16 KOs (64%). Bohachuk has recently beaten solid opponents by decision and showed growth since their first meeting in 2021 where Adams stopped him despite Bohachuk dominating.
- They fought first in 2021, Adams won by stoppage in 8th round despite Bohachuk leading on scorecards. For the rematch, Bohachuk is expected to adjust and avoid mistakes that led to the first loss.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter before this bout.
- The fight will take place at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, giving a neutral venue but with some home crowd advantage to the more popular Bohachuk. The fight is on a high-profile card, increasing motivation.
- Bohachuk is highly motivated to avenge his first loss and reclaim status after a controversial defeat, while Adams has been slowed by inactivity and lacks the same momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -500, away: +350 | Serhii Bohachuk | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Bohachuk -2.5: -150, Adams +2.5: +130 | Bohachuk -2.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | over: -155, under: +125 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Serhii Bohachuk -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 35% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Serhii Bohachuk to win by unanimous decision
Predicted Score: Serhii Bohachuk wins by unanimous decision, 97-92 on average scorecards