Match Analysis: Sergiusz Zajac vs Mariusz Książkiewicz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland

Game Overview

The matchup features Sergiusz Zajac, a younger and highly ranked Polish light heavyweight (LHW) fighter with an 8-1 record, against Mariusz Książkiewicz, a 35-year-old Canadian veteran with an 11-2 record and a regional title in KSW. Both fighters have demonstrated knockout power, but Zajac is favored in his home country with slightly longer reach and height advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sergiusz Zajac enters this bout with strong recent form, holding an 8-1 professional record, with 9 of his wins via KO/TKO and only one loss. Mariusz Książkiewicz has more total wins (11) and experience, with a solid record of 11-2, including 5 submission wins, showing grappling prowess. Książkiewicz also recently won a regional title in KSW, demonstrating momentum. However, Zajac’s finishing rate and youth indicate an edge in athleticism and striking.
• There are no prior contests directly between Zajac and Książkiewicz, so no direct H2H data exists. This matchup will test stylistic contrasts: Zajac’s striking against Książkiewicz’s grappling.
• No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the fight, indicating both are expected to be at full health and ready.
• The fight takes place in Poland, Zajac’s home country, providing potential crowd and motivational advantage. Książkiewicz is competing away from home but brings solid experience in KSW, possibly mitigating external disadvantages.
• Zajac is highly motivated to climb the KSW ranks at just 26 years old, viewing this as a key fight in his ascent. Książkiewicz is motivated to defend and build upon his recent regional title success to establish himself further internationally. Both fighters have strong reasons to win, though Zajac appears more driven as the home favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -225, away: +163	Home	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	home_spread: -1.5 (+120), away_spread: +1.5 (-140)	Home -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over_2.5: +110, under_2.5: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergiusz Zajac to win via knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Zajac wins by KO/TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Sergiusz Zajac vs Michal Dreczkowski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This MMA match between Sergiusz Zajac and Michal Dreczkowski is highly anticipated, with both fighters having impressive recent performances. Zajac has a strong record with seven wins and one loss in his last eight fights, while Dreczkowski is undefeated at 5-0.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sergiusz Zajac has shown versatility in his wins, with a mix of TKO and decision victories. Michal Dreczkowski's undefeated record suggests strong form, but there is limited data on his recent opponents.
• There is no previous head-to-head match between Sergiusz Zajac and Michal Dreczkowski.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight's venue and crowd could influence performance, but specific details are not available.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Zajac looking to continue his winning streak and Dreczkowski aiming to remain undefeated.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michal Dreczkowski: 100, Sergiusz Zajac: -130	Sergiusz Zajac	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Sergiusz Zajac is favored to win due to his recent form and experience.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA