Match Analysis: Magomed Magomedov vs Sergio Pettis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dubai, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Magomed Magomedov faces Sergio Pettis at 135 lbs in a pivotal PFL bout part of the Road to Dubai event. Magomedov enters as the favorite with stronger recent PFL performances, while Pettis brings high-level MMA experience, making for a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Magomedov has shown consistent winning form in recent PFL events, leveraging his wrestling and top control. Pettis has a solid all-around skill set but has faced mixed results lately, including losses to high-tier opponents.
• No prior professional fights between Magomedov and Sergio Pettis, making this their initial direct encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout; both appear physically prepared.
• Fight taking place in UAE with neutral location advantages; no apparent external distractions or issues impacting either fighter.
• Magomedov is highly motivated aiming to advance further in PFL Road to Dubai, whereas Pettis seeks to re-establish himself among top contenders, offering strong personal motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-240 / +205	Magomed Magomedov	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	-110	Magomed Magomedov -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -200 / Under 2.5 174	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Magomed Magomedov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 70%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 70% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Magomed Magomedov to win; Spread: Magomedov by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Magomed Magomedov wins by decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Raufeon Stots vs Sergio Pettis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

This high-stakes PFL bantamweight semifinal bout features former teammates and Bellator Bantamweight Champions Raufeon Stots and Sergio Pettis, both elite fighters with strong professional records. Stots holds a 21-2 record with prior PFL experience (1-0), while Pettis is debuting in the PFL with a 23-7 record overall. The bout is set for June 27, 2025, at Wintrust Arena in Chicago and is part of a stacked fight card including several other tournament semifinals.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have demonstrated high-performance levels throughout their careers; Stots has shown strong grappling skills complemented by striking, while Pettis brings well-rounded MMA skills with a background in multiple disciplines. Stots has the slight edge with fewer losses and recent momentum in PFL competition.
• As former teammates and Bellator Bantamweight Champions, this fight marks a new rivalry in the PFL environment. They have not faced each other professionally in the PFL yet, making this a fresh matchup with unknown dynamics.
• No current injury reports affecting either fighter leading up to this bout.
• The fight takes place in Chicago's Wintrust Arena, providing a neutral venue atmosphere. Both fighters are motivated to advance in the 2025 PFL World Tournament.
• With a semifinal spot on the line in the 2025 PFL Bantamweight World Tournament, both fighters are highly motivated to secure victory and progress towards the championship, especially with Pettis making his PFL debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -175, away: 145	Raufeon Stots	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -1.5, away: +1.5	Raufeon Stots -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_1.5_rounds: -110, under_1.5_rounds: -110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Raufeon Stots -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Raufeon Stots at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raufeon Stots is favored to win based on current odds, recent form in PFL, and overall record. The fight is expected to be competitive, but Stots’ momentum and experience in PFL give him a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: Raufeon Stots wins by decision after 3 rounds