Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals (71-72) host the San Francisco Giants (72-70) in the final game of their three-game series. This matchup features Cardinals' Sonny Gray against Giants' Kai-Wei Teng, with both teams around .500 but competing for valuable positioning late in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals have a mediocre overall season record but boast a top-tier bullpen (11th in MLB). Giants also around .500 but have struggled offensively and with bullpen consistency (27th ranked).
- In recent encounters, the Cardinals hold the edge with a walk-off win, but the Giants have shown resilience throughout the series. Sonny Gray has a good record against Giants with a 3.33 ERA over last five starts versus them.
- No significant injuries reported for key players on either side that would impact today's game.
- Game at Busch Stadium gives Cardinals home-field advantage. Weather expected to be neutral with no adverse conditions.
- Both teams out of playoff contention but fighting to improve standings and gain momentum for next season. Cardinals may have slight edge due to playing at home and desire to close series strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Francisco Giants: +130, St. Louis Cardinals: -154 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | San Francisco Giants +1.5: -166, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: 138 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8: 100, Under 8: -122 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals win; Spread: Cardinals -1.5; Over/Under: Under 8 runs
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4, San Francisco Giants 2