3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction	San Francisco Giants Win	-215	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction	Kansas City Royals Win	-184	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction	San Diego Padres Win	-164	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +264

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $72.81

Match Analysis: Samuel Silva vs Mandel Nallo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Week 4

Game Overview

The fight is a lightweight bout at 155 pounds between Samuel Silva, the reigning Cage Warriors Lightweight Champion, and Mandel Nallo, a former Bellator contender and current Samourai MMA Lightweight Champion. Both fighters are entering on significant win streaks — Silva with five consecutive wins including three finishes, and Nallo with a recent four-fight streak of first-round finishes. The matchup is seen as evenly matched, offering no easy path for either given their high-level credentials and somewhat different career trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

• Samuel Silva has demonstrated adaptability with international experience across LFA, RCC, and Shooto Brasil, which contributes to his technical versatility. Mandel Nallo trains out of Tristar Gym under Firas Zahabi, known for high-level preparation and strategic fight planning. Nallo's recent finishing runs indicate aggressive efficiency, while Silva's championship bout experience commands a gritty resilience.
• No prior direct matches between Samuel Silva and Mandel Nallo have taken place, making this their first encounter. Both have comparable overall records with Silva at 13-4-1 and Nallo at 13-3-0, showcasing similarly experienced lightweight credentials.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the match.
• The fight's setting on Dana White's Contender Series Week 4 adds increased motivation and pressure, as a UFC contract is likely on the line. Both fighters have expressed respect for the matchup and regard it as a prime opportunity without an easy path forward—creating an environment of heightened focus and competitive stakes.
• Both Silva and Nallo are highly motivated, coming off winning streaks and championship titles in their respective promotions. Nallo acknowledges the tough stylistic challenge Silva presents, while Silva has momentum from his recent championship upset. With a UFC contract at stake, both fighters’ drive and determination are expected to be peaking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mandel Nallo: +165, Samuel Silva: -190	Samuel Silva	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Samuel Silva: -1.5	Samuel Silva by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	over 1.5 rounds: -127, under 1.5 rounds: +107	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Samuel Silva -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuel Silva is narrowly favored due to his recent successes at a high international level and experience in championship scenarios, combined with his slightly more active fight schedule recently. However, Mandel Nallo’s finishing ability and elite gym environment keep this fight highly competitive. Prediction favors Silva via decision or late stoppage with about 60% confidence.

Predicted Score: Samuel Silva wins by decision or stoppage in Round 3 or later

Match Analysis: Theo Haig vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series 80

Game Overview

The match between Theo Haig and Cezary Oleksiejczuk is a classic striker versus grappler style fight, with Oleksiejczuk being the more experienced and powerful striker and Haig an undefeated grappler relying on submissions. Oleksiejczuk holds a significant reach advantage and KO power, while Haig excels in submissions but is untested against a fighter of Oleksiejczuk's caliber.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cezary Oleksiejczuk has a professional record of 15-3 with eight KO wins and is known for striking power. Theo Haig is undefeated at 6-0, winning all fights by submission, demonstrating high grappling proficiency.
• This is their first encounter; no direct head-to-head history exists.
• No reported injuries for either fighter in the lead-up to this match.
• The fight takes place in Dana White's Contender Series, a high-stakes platform where fighters aim to secure UFC contracts, adding strong motivation for both. Oleksiejczuk fights in the middleweight division with an approximate 4-inch reach advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated given the UFC contract implications. Oleksiejczuk seeks to prove himself at this level, having a brother in the UFC, while Haig aims to maintain his undefeated record and show he can compete with experienced strikers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cezary Oleksiejczuk: -280, Theo Haig: +240	Cezary Oleksiejczuk	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: +118, under: -138	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cezary Oleksiejczuk -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cezary Oleksiejczuk is favored to win due to his experience, striking, and power advantage. However, Theo Haig's grappling and submission skills could present a significant threat if he manages to take the fight to the ground. The predicted outcome is a late finish by Oleksiejczuk on the feet.

Predicted Score: Cezary Oleksiejczuk wins by KO/TKO late in round 2

Match Analysis: David Mgoyan vs Tommy McMillen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This Dana White's Contender Series featherweight bout features the undefeated Russian-Armenian prospect David Mgoyan (7-0) against the undefeated American wrestler Tommy McMillen (8-0). Both fighters showcase high finishing rates with a combined 15 finishes in 16 fights, suggesting an aggressive, decisive matchup unlikely to go the distance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mgoyan is a younger fighter by six years with similar fight experience but has shown moments of tentativeness and poor decisions in past fights, while McMillen, fighting out of America with strong wrestling credentials and unorthodox striking, has finished every opponent in the first round except one by submission or KO/TKO.
• This is their first meeting.
• McMillen suffered an AC joint separation a year prior forcing a fight withdrawal but has since recovered fully and is motivated to prove himself; no recent injuries reported for Mgoyan.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex with Dana White’s Contender Series spotlight, adding pressure as both fighters seek a UFC contract. McMillen had a late change in opponent and is well prepared with at least 2-3 weeks training.
• McMillen is motivated to become the first American featherweight champion amidst perceived overseas dominance, while Mgoyan looks to maintain his undefeated record and showcase his potential ceiling given his youth.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	David Mgoyan: -194, Tommy McMillen: 169	Tommy McMillen to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	David Mgoyan: -1.5, Tommy McMillen: +1.5	Tommy McMillen +1.5 round spread	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: -153, Under: 133	Over 1.5 rounds (fight lasting more than 1.5 rounds)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	David Mgoyan 80%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: David Mgoyan at 80% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tommy McMillen is predicted to win by submission given his aggressive style, reach advantage, and high finishing power despite Mgoyan's technical grappling skills. The fight is expected to end in the early rounds with McMillen landing a fight-ending move from an unorthodox angle before securing a submission.

Predicted Score: Tommy McMillen wins via submission in Round 1 or early Round 2

Match Analysis: Jack Congdon vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas, UFC Contender Series

Game Overview

The bout features Jack Congdon (7-1) from New Bedford and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (7-2) in a welterweight MMA contest on Dana White's UFC Contender Series. Congdon is a taekwondo and nogi grappling base fighter transitioning from lighter competition to higher caliber opponents. Lebosnoyani, nicknamed 'Mufasa', is a submission specialist with a stronger strength of schedule and two career losses both by strikes. The fight represents a pivotal career moment for Congdon as he faces a more experienced and proven opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Congdon holds a 7-1 professional record with notable pace and finishing ability but has faced limited elite competition. Lebosnoyani (7-2) has better strength of schedule, excels in submissions, and has finished opponents including wins by rear-naked choke.
• This is their first and only matchup scheduled for September 2, 2025, with no prior head-to-head history.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Congdon fights in his first national spotlight event in Las Vegas on ESPN+, under pressure to prove himself. Lebosnoyani has moved up weight classes from lightweight to welterweight, adjusting his style accordingly.
• Congdon is highly motivated to secure a UFC contract after years of grinding at the regional level. Lebosnoyani seeks to demonstrate skills against a fast starter with a solid submission game, aiming to exploit Congdon's prior submission loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jack Congdon: +330, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: -400	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Jack Congdon: +1.5, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: -1.5	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_1.5: +145, under_1.5: -165	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to win by submission, leveraging his superior grappling and experience advantage over Congdon.

Predicted Score: Lebosnoyani wins by submission in round 2

Match Analysis: Eduardo Henrique vs An Tuan Ho – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-03
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series (undisclosed venue)

Game Overview

The match features a flyweight bout between Eduardo Henrique, a highly experienced striker with a strong record, and An Tuan Ho, a young but promising Vietnamese-American fighter with solid knockout power. Both fighters carry strong recent performances, achieving four wins in their last five fights. Henrique is favored due to his striking capability and UFC experience, whereas An Tuan Ho is considered a high-level prospect still adjusting to the UFC level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Eduardo Henrique has a record of 14-2, showing dominance especially in striking, while An Tuan Ho holds a 7-1 record, noted for 71.4% KO wins but less UFC experience. Both are on good winning streaks recently.
• This is the first official bout between Eduardo Henrique and An Tuan Ho; no direct head-to-head data available.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of this match.
• An Tuan Ho is slightly younger (age 24) and somewhat less experienced at UFC level, which might influence performance. Henrique's maturity and experience might provide an advantage. No other external distractions reported.
• Both fighters appear highly motivated — Henrique to prove his striking skill in UFC, An Tuan Ho to validate his potential and secure his UFC tenure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Eduardo Henrique: -155, An Tuan Ho: 135	Eduardo Henrique	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Eduardo Henrique: -1.5, An Tuan Ho: +1.5	Eduardo Henrique -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: 130, under: -150, line: 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Eduardo Henrique 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eduardo Henrique is predicted to win by knockout or technical knockout due to superior striking and UFC experience. The fight is expected not to go the distance, favoring Henrique's aggressive style and precision.

Predicted Score: Eduardo Henrique wins via KO/TKO in Round 2