Location: Las Vegas, Nevada (Dana White's Contender Series 2025: Week 4)
Game Overview
This bout features Eduardo Henrique da Silva facing An Tuan Ho in a competitive matchup on Dana Whiteβs Contender Series. Henrique is a slight favorite on the moneyline with -155 odds while An Tuan Ho is the underdog at +135. The fight is expected to be competitive with strong grappling and striking skills from both fighters and a likely decision or late finish outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
Eduardo Henrique has demonstrated steady recent form with wins in relevant bouts on the Contender Series and LFA, showing strong control and grappling ability. An Tuan Ho has shown resilience but had mixed results, including decisively less dominant performances in LFA and Contender Series outings.
No direct previous fights between Eduardo Henrique and An Tuan Ho were found, making this a first-time matchup reliant on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading up to this fight, indicating full health and preparation for both.
The event takes place in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are motivated by the opportunity to secure a UFC contract through Dana White's Contender Series.
Both fighters are highly motivated, but Eduardo Henrique appears slightly more driven given his recent winning momentum and need to solidify a UFC entry, while An Tuan Ho faces pressure to rebound from recent mixed results.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -155, away: +135
Eduardo Henrique
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds: -130, An Tuan Ho +1.5 rounds: +110
Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
over 2.5 rounds: +130, under 2.5 rounds: -150
Under 2.5 rounds
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Eduardo Henrique -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 -0%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Eduardo Henrique to win by decision
Predicted Score: Eduardo Henrique by decision (unanimous) after 3 rounds
Location: Contender Series 2025, Las Vegas, Nevada
Game Overview
Samuel Silva faces Mandel Nallo in a Contender Series bout at Las Vegas. Silva is the betting favorite with a consistent strong form recorded in regional promotions, while Nallo enters as a slight underdog but with competitive recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Samuel Silva has shown steady improvement with recent winning momentum across Cage Warriors and LFA, maintaining odds as favorite in recent fights. Mandel Nallo has competitive form but less consistency and has been underdog in recent bouts.
No prior recorded head-to-head between Samuel Silva and Mandel Nallo, making this a fresh matchup without direct matchup data.
No reported injuries to either fighter prior to the bout, both expected to be at full health and capacity.
Fight takes place at Contender Series in a neutral venue (Las Vegas). Both fighters motivated to impress for UFC contract consideration, increasing overall fight intensity.
Both fighters highly motivated as they compete on Contender Series aiming for UFC contracts. Silvaβs recent momentum and betting favorite status may indicate boosted confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -190, away: +165
Samuel Silva
β β β β β 72%
Spread
silva -1.5: -120, nallo +1.5: 100
Samuel Silva -1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over 1.5: -127, under 1.5: 107
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Samuel Silva -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 20%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Samuel Silva to win via moneyline, cover the spread, and fight to go under 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Samuel Silva wins by decision or finish just before round 2 ends
Location: Dana White's Contender Series, undisclosed venue
Game Overview
Highly anticipated middleweight clash between rising undefeated grappler prospect Theo Haig and seasoned striker Cezary Oleksiejczuk, known for power striking and KO ability.
Key Factors to Consider
Theo Haig is undefeated (6-0) with a 5-0 run in recent fights showing strong grappling and submission skills. Oleksiejczuk has 15-3 record with a 4-1 recent form, carrying knockout power in 8 KO wins on his resume.
No prior head-to-head meetings between the fighters, making styles and form primary analysis factors.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
The bout takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, motivating both fighters to impress for a UFC contract. Higher pressure on Oleksiejczuk as the more experienced and favored striker.
Both fighters motivated by UFC contract prospects; Oleksiejczuk has established power striking credentials, while Haig aims to prove his ground game can overcome elite opponents.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +240, away: -280
Away – Cezary Oleksiejczuk
β β β β β 75%
Spread
away_minus_1.5: -110, home_plus_1.5: -110
Away – Cezary Oleksiejczuk -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over_1.5: +118, under_1.5: -138
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cezary Oleksiejczuk -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cezary Oleksiejczuk to win by decision or late KO with strong stand-up and takedown defense.
Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by late KO or decision in round 3
David Mgoyan and Tommy McMillen face off in a highly competitive and closely matched featherweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters enter undefeated, with Mgoyan holding a 7-0 record and McMillen an 8-0 record. The matchup features contrasting styles and physical advantages that set the stage for a compelling contest.
Key Factors to Consider
Mgoyan boasts a well-rounded skill set and younger age (21 vs 27), but has been somewhat tentative and made questionable decisions in cages. McMillen has a perfect first-round finish streak and aggressive style, leveraging an 8-0 run and a wrestling base with submission prowess reflecting 5 submission wins.
This is their first meeting with no prior head-to-head data. Both fighters present high finishing rates and similar career stages, though McMillen has more submission victories, and Mgoyan shows more knockout power.
McMillen previously suffered an AC joint separation that postponed his UFC Contender appearance last year but has since recovered fully and remained active with one fight since then. Mgoyan has no reported injuries.
The fight occurs at the UFC Apex, with McMillen having strong local motivation as a Montana native making his UFC-related debut. Mgoyan is a late replacement with only a few weeks notice but is highly motivated to prove his ceiling.
McMillen has expressed strong motivation to stop the recent overseas dominance in the UFC featherweight division and secure a UFC contract on home soil. Mgoyan seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and prove his potential as a rising prospect.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
David Mgoyan: -194, Tommy McMillen: 169
Tommy McMillen
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Tommy McMillen -1.5: +150, David Mgoyan +1.5: -180
Tommy McMillen -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 1.5: -153, Under 1.5: 133
Over 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
David Mgoyan 56%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: David Mgoyan at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tommy McMillen to win by submission
Predicted Score: Tommy McMillen wins by submission in round 2
Welterweight bout between Jack Congdon (7-1-0) and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (7-2-0) on Dana White's Contender Series main card, ESPN+, in Las Vegas.
Key Factors to Consider
Congdon is a rising prospect with a 7-1 pro record but has faced generally weaker opponents. Lebosnoyani's 7-2 record comes against tougher competition and includes submission wins, highlighting his grappling proficiency.
No prior head-to-head matchup exists between Congdon and Lebosnoyani.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
Fight held at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, neutral venue, likely no significant external disruptions. Congdon has strong local support from New Bedford area.
Both fighters motivated to secure UFC contracts, but Lebosnoyaniβs experience against higher-level opponents and specialist skills may give him a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Jack Congdon: 330, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: -400
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Lebosnoyani -1.5: -150, Congdon +1.5: +120
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: +145, Under 1.5 rounds: -165
Under 1.5 rounds
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 -4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to win by submission
Predicted Score: Lebosnoyani wins by submission in round 2