Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Oakland Athletics – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-03
- Time: 11:46 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals (69-71) host the Oakland Athletics (64-76) in a critical late-season MLB matchup with both teams aiming to improve their position. The Cardinals are slight favorites on the moneyline, despite inconsistency and bullpen concerns, while the Athletics have shown resilience as road underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals are 69-71 with a 50% win rate as favorites and recent form 5-5, showing inconsistency and a slight negative run differential. Athletics stand at 64-76 with solid recent success as road underdogs, having won the last six games after losses.
- Recent head-to-head favors the Cardinals narrowly with 5 wins vs. 7 for the Athletics in past matchups; Cardinals won the last meeting 2-1. The Athletics have a higher scoring average (4.75 runs/game) compared to Cardinals (2.92 runs/game) in recent matches.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key players.
- Game at Busch Stadium benefits Cardinals home advantage. Pitcher matchup: Jeffrey Springs (OAK) 10-9, 4.17 ERA vs. Matthew Liberatore (STL) 6-11, 4.32 ERA; Liberatoreβs second start against Athletics.
- Cardinals motivated to solidify playoff chances in final stretch; Athletics aim to rally momentum and improve sub-.500 record by continuing strong road underdog performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | STL -116, OAK -102 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β ββ 60% |
Spread | OAK -1.5 +160, STL +1.5 -194 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Cardinals win; Spread: Cardinals +1.5; Over/Under: Over 8.5 runs
Predicted Score: Cardinals 5, Athletics 4