Match Analysis: Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

This UFC prelim heavyweight bout features Brando Peričić (4-1), a taller fighter with a 196 cm height and 1.96 m reach from USA, versus Elisha Ellison (5-1), a slightly smaller but aggressive Australian fighter, 180 cm tall with 1.8 m reach. Both are relatively inexperienced at the UFC level but known for finishing potential. Peričić has shown vulnerability when fights go beyond early rounds and is susceptible to takedown control. Ellison, fighting at home, is expected to leverage striking and potentially ground control for a finish.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have strong regional records with a majority wins by finish, but neither has extensive UFC experience. Peričić's lone loss was by submission after fading in later rounds. Ellison exhibits a balanced striking and ground game with momentum as the home favorite.
• No prior head-to-head matchups exist between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, giving Ellison home crowd support. The fight is a prelim bout on ESPN+.
• Ellison looks to capitalize on home advantage and continue rising UFC trajectory. Peričić aims to prove resilience and maintain rising status after a submission loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brando Pericic: -225, Elisha Ellison: 186	Elisha Ellison	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_1.5: 194, under_1.5: -235	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brando Pericic 98%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brando Pericic at 98% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elisha Ellison is predicted to win, likely via grappling and controlling Peričić after early exchanges, with a high probability of a finish in the later rounds. If Ellison does not secure an early knockout, his ground control should lead to a submission victory.

Predicted Score: Elisha Ellison wins by submission or TKO in Round 2

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Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs UMass Minutemen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field, Columbia, Missouri

Game Overview

The Missouri Tigers, ranked #20/19 and undefeated at 4-0, host the struggling UMass Minutemen, who are 0-3 this season. Missouri is heavily favored with a large 44.5 point spread and an over/under set at 56.5 points. Missouri recently beat South Carolina 29-20, while UMass lost 47-7 to Iowa.

Key Factors to Consider

• Missouri has been dominant with a 4-0 record, including wins over quality opponents like South Carolina. UMass has struggled heavily, losing its first three games by large margins, showing offensive and defensive weaknesses.
• Missouri leads the series 1-0, having won the last meeting decisively 45-3 on October 12, 2024, at UMass' home field.
• No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
• The game is played at Missouri's home stadium, giving the Tigers a home-field advantage. The kickoff is scheduled for prime time on ESPNU, increasing stakes and motivation for Missouri's favored program.
• Missouri aims to maintain its undefeated streak and improve conference position, while UMass seeks to avoid a 0-4 start and gain valuable experience against a top-ranked team.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	Missouri Tigers: -44.5 (-114), UMass Minutemen: +44.5 (-106)	Missouri Tigers to cover -44.5	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over: 56.5 (-105), Under: 56.5 (-115)	Under 56.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 56.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri is expected to win comfortably, likely covering the large spread due to the vast difference in team quality, experience, and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 48 – UMass Minutemen 7

Match Analysis: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Oregon Ducks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Neutral or unspecified

Game Overview

This NCAA American football match features the Penn State Nittany Lions hosting the Oregon Ducks. Both teams are highly competitive, with recent history showing balanced outcomes. The matchup is anticipated to be close, with both offenses capable of scoring significantly, leading to a potentially high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penn State has averaged about 34.8 points per game in their last five games while allowing 20.6 points. Oregon has averaged 34.0 points per game but allowed more points defensively at 26.0 during the same period. Oregon has a stronger ATS (against the spread) win rate of 80%, compared to Penn State's 60%, indicating better performance against bookmaker expectations.
• The teams have played only once recently (2024), with Oregon winning 45-37. Historically, Penn State holds a slight edge overall with 3 wins to Oregon's 2, dating back to 1960. The recent single clash showed a close and high-scoring contest, indicating competitive parity between the two sides.
• No specific injury reports are currently available from the search results; however, this may impact predictions if any key starters are unavailable closer to game day.
• The game is scheduled at a neutral or unspecified venue with no clear external conditions affecting team performance, such as weather or travel strain.
• Both teams are highly ranked (Penn State #3, Oregon #6 as per recent context), suggesting strong motivation to secure a win for playoff positioning and rankings maintenance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oregon Ducks: +145, Penn State Nittany Lions: -175	Penn State Nittany Lions to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Oregon Ducks: -112 ( +3.5 points ), Penn State Nittany Lions: -108 ( -3.5 points )	Penn State to cover the -3.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: -115 (51.5 points), Under: -105 (51.5 points)	Over 51.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Penn State Nittany Lions -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction favors Penn State narrowly due to home advantage, stronger defensive stats, and slightly better recent overall performance, but Oregon's offensive capability makes this a potential shootout.

Predicted Score: Penn State Nittany Lions 31 – Oregon Ducks 27

Match Analysis: Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:05 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Perth, Australia

Game Overview

The UFC Strawweight bout between Loma Lookboonmee and Alexia Thainara features a clash of contrasting styles: Loma’s precise Muay Thai striking and solid takedown defense against Alexia’s aggressive high-volume striking and relentless grappling. Loma, a Thai fighter (10-3), has a size disadvantage but brings technical consistency and scrambling ability. Alexia, a Brazilian striker (12-1) standing taller with longer reach, is coming off a first-round submission win over Molly McCann and carries strong momentum into the fight.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alexia Thainara exhibits a more aggressive striking approach, landing 6.73 strikes per minute but with a lower accuracy of 40%. Loma Lookboonmee relies on efficient, precise Muay Thai striking with solid defensive grappling and good fight pace control. Loma’s recent unanimous decision win over Istela Nunes showcases her technical prowess and control.
• This is the first meeting between Loma Lookboonmee and Alexia Thainara, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
• No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is part of the UFC Perth prelims, with both fighters motivated to climb the Strawweight rankings. Loma is slightly disadvantaged by size but has home crowd energy and Muay Thai clinch expertise. Alexia faces pressure to maintain her winning streak and prove herself at higher competition levels.
• Loma Lookboonmee aims to extend her winning streak and improve her UFC Strawweight ranking, leveraging her technical skills and experience. Alexia Thainara looks to maintain momentum after a high-profile submission win and enter elite Strawweight contender status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alexia Thainara: -245, Loma Lookboonmee: 202	Loma Lookboonmee win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Loma Lookboonmee +1.5 rounds: -150, Alexia Thainara -1.5 rounds: +130	Loma Lookboonmee +1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -260, Under 2.5 rounds: 214	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alexia Thainara 96%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexia Thainara at 96% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite being the underdog in betting odds, Loma Lookboonmee’s combination of technical striking, takedown defense, and fight IQ gives her a strong chance to outpoint Alexia Thainara, who fights aggressively but with less precision. The fight is expected to go to decision with Loma edging out a victory through superior control and defense.

Predicted Score: Loma Lookboonmee wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Match Analysis: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Flagler Credit Union Stadium

Game Overview

The Memphis Tigers (4-0) host the Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) in an American Athletic Conference matchup. Memphis enters the game undefeated and heavily favored, showing strong offensive performance. Florida Atlantic has struggled with just one win, making them clear underdogs. The line sits at Memphis favored by 13.5 points, with an over/under of 63.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Memphis is undefeated at 4-0 and dominates statistically in both offense and defense. Florida Atlantic's 1-2 record reflects inconsistency and weaker performance, especially against stronger competition like Memphis. Memphis has demonstrated robust scoring capabilities averaging over 30 points per game.
• Recent head-to-head history favors Memphis with comfortable wins. No recent close contests indicate Memphis' dominance over Florida Atlantic in past matchups.
• No significant injury reports affecting either team's starting lineup have been noted currently, suggesting both teams will have near-full rosters.
• The game is at Memphis' home stadium, giving them home-field advantage. Weather or travel issues are not reported as impactful for this matchup, and the timing allows Memphis to continue their momentum.
• Memphis aims to maintain its undefeated season and continue dominating conference play, boosting their championship aspirations. Florida Atlantic looks to improve its losing record and prove competitiveness against top AAC teams, providing some motivation despite the underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Florida Atlantic Owls: 375, Memphis Tigers: -500	Memphis Tigers	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Florida Atlantic Owls: +13.5 -110, Memphis Tigers: -13.5 -110	Memphis Tigers to cover -13.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over: 63.5 -110, Under: 63.5 -110	Under 63.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Memphis Tigers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 63.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Memphis is expected to win comfortably, covering the 13.5-point spread, with the total points leaning towards slightly under the 63.5 line due to strong defense limiting Florida Atlantic's scoring.

Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 33 – Florida Atlantic Owls 20

Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles face the Jacksonville State Gamecocks in a closely contested NCAAF matchup where both teams enter with 2-2 records. Southern Miss is the home favorite by 4 points with the over/under set at 54.5. Southern Miss recently lost 30-20 to Louisiana Tech, while Jacksonville State secured a strong 45-10 victory over Murray State in their most recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Southern Miss has struggled slightly with a recent loss, while Jacksonville State's convincing win shows they can produce high offensive output. Both teams are 2-2 overall but Southern Miss has a slight edge at home.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data available, but odds and predictions suggest Southern Miss as a modest favorite due to home advantage.
• No significant injury reports were found for either team impacting this game.
• Weather at kickoff is favorable with 80°F and 0% rain forecasted, minimizing environmental impact. Southern Miss has 100% public betting backing on the moneyline, indicating strong public confidence.
• Jacksonville State is motivated to defy odds as 4-point underdogs and build on recent momentum, while Southern Miss aims to rebound from a recent defeat on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: +154, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -185	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Jacksonville State Gamecocks: +4 (-110), Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -4 (-110)	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 54.5 (-115), Under: 54.5 (-105)	Over 54.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 54.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles win narrowly by covering the spread due to home field advantage, but Jacksonville State’s strong recent offensive showing suggests a competitive, moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Southern Mississippi 31 – Jacksonville State 27

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Edmonton Elks host the Saskatchewan Roughriders in a significant CFL West Division matchup. The Roughriders enter as heavy favorites with an 8-1 record, leading the West, while the Elks are struggling at 3-6, sitting fifth in the division. This game is also the Indigenous Celebration at Edmonton with a strong home crowd expected.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan boasts one of the CFL's best records (8-1), demonstrating strong offensive efficiency and defensive resilience. Edmonton's 3-6 record reflects inconsistency and struggles on both sides of the ball, although playing at home could provide them a morale boost.
• In their most recent meeting on July 25, 2025, Saskatchewan narrowly defeated Edmonton 21-18, indicating a competitive but close edge for the Roughriders. Historically, Saskatchewan has been the stronger side in recent meetings.
• No specific recent injury reports publicly available for either team before the match, suggesting both sides may be close to full strength.
• The Indigenous Celebration game theme in Edmonton might energize the Elks and fans, potentially tightening the atmosphere. Playing at Commonwealth Stadium gives the home team a notable advantage. Weather conditions are unknown but are likely typical early fall Canadian outdoor football conditions.
• Saskatchewan, leading the division, is motivated to maintain their first-place status and momentum. Edmonton is motivated to upset a top team at home and prove their competitiveness despite a losing record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edmonton Elks: 158, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -192	Saskatchewan Roughriders to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Edmonton Elks: -106, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -114	Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover -3.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: -110, Under: -110	Under 54.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saskatchewan Roughriders -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 54.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders favored to win due to superior season performance and recent victory in head-to-head but the game is expected to be competitive with a chance for the Elks to cover the spread at home.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 27 – Edmonton Elks 21

Match Analysis: NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Tech Hokies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina

Game Overview

The NC State Wolfpack (3-1) host the Virginia Tech Hokies (1-3) in an ACC conference matchup. NC State is favored by approximately 10 points with the total set near 57.5 points. NC State recently lost a high-scoring game to Duke 45-33, while Virginia Tech comes off a convincing 38-6 win over Wofford. The game features contrasting recent momentum but favors NC State's stronger overall season performance and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• NC State has a 3-1 record, demonstrating solid form with strong offensive capabilities but a recent defensive lapse against Duke. Virginia Tech at 1-3 has struggled early but shows a rebound in confidence after a dominant win over Wofford. NC State’s overall offense is more productive, while Virginia Tech’s defense showed improvement in the last game.
• Historically, NC State holds an edge in matchups against Virginia Tech. The betting lines reflect this trend with NC State as a substantial favorite both on the spread and moneyline.
• No specific injury details were reported in the provided data, suggesting no major injuries impacting the starting lineups.
• Weather conditions in Raleigh forecast 73°F and 43% rain with moderate winds. Such conditions may slightly affect passing efficiency and could favor a run-heavy approach, possibly lowering the scoring pace.
• NC State, playing at home, aims to capitalize on conference standing and bounce back with a win after a recent loss. Virginia Tech is motivated to improve their poor start to the season and build on recent defensive success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	NC State Wolfpack: -375, Virginia Tech Hokies: 295	NC State Wolfpack	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	NC State Wolfpack: -10 -110, Virginia Tech Hokies: +10 -110	NC State Wolfpack to cover -10	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 57.5 -112, Under: 57.5 -108	Under 57.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	NC State Wolfpack -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 57.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 57.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NC State is favored to win comfortably, leveraging home advantage, superior overall season form, and offensive firepower. Virginia Tech may keep the game competitive in some stretches, but overcoming the 10-point spread will be challenging.

Predicted Score: NC State Wolfpack 31 – Virginia Tech Hokies 20

Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Game Overview

The Missouri State Bears (2-2) host the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) in a Conference USA matchup. Western Kentucky is favored based on their stronger record and recent ATS (against the spread) performance, while Missouri State looks to capitalize on home-field advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Western Kentucky is currently 3-1 overall and 1-0 in conference play, showing strong offensive and defensive execution. Missouri State is 2-2 with a more balanced but less consistent performance. Western Kentucky has been 7-1 ATS in their last 8 September games, indicating reliability in covering spreads.
• Specific recent head-to-head data is limited, but Western Kentucky’s recent performance and higher win percentage suggest an edge in previous matchups.
• No detailed injury reports were available from the current data sources; current rosters appear relatively healthy.
• Missouri State has home-field advantage at Robert W. Plaster Stadium which could impact performance in a tightly contested game. Weather and travel factors for Western Kentucky might also slightly influence the outcome but no extreme conditions are reported.
• Western Kentucky’s better record and recent successful results increase their motivation to maintain momentum in conference play. Missouri State is motivated to defend home turf and improve their below-.500 standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Missouri State Bears: 160, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -192	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Missouri State Bears: 4.5 -112, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -4.5 -108	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to cover -4.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 61.5 -115, Under: 61.5 -105	Under 61.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 61.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are favored to win due to superior form and ATS record, but Missouri State may keep it competitive given the home advantage.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 36 – Missouri State Bears 28

Match Analysis: Jeremy Hill vs Cristian Cruz Chacon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Osceola Heritage Park, Kissimmee, Florida

Game Overview

The boxing match between Jeremy Hill and Cristian Cruz Chacon is scheduled for 10 rounds in the super featherweight division, set for September 27, 2025, at Osceola Heritage Park. Jeremy Hill is favored due to his superior technical skills and reach advantage, while Cristian Cruz Chacon is noted for resilience and strong power punches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jeremy Hill has a solid record of 22 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw with strong technical skills and reach advantage. Cristian Cruz Chacon has 23 wins, 7 losses, and 1 draw, known for resilience and power punches. Hill’s agility and technique give him an edge over Chacon's power-oriented style.
• This will be the first recorded professional head-to-head matchup between Jeremy Hill and Cristian Cruz Chacon.
• No recent injuries reported for either fighter that could affect performance.
• The fight takes place in Florida, neutral ground for both athletes. The venue and conditions are expected to be standard with no discernible external adverse effects.
• Both fighters are motivated to advance their careers with this significant bout; Hill aims to leverage technical superiority, while Chacon will attempt to use power punches to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jeremy Hill: -370, Cristian Cruz Chacon: 275	Jeremy Hill to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Jeremy Hill -1.5 rounds: -150, Cristian Cruz Chacon +1.5 rounds: +130	Jeremy Hill -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jeremy Hill -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jeremy Hill at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jeremy Hill is predicted to win by decision or late rounds due to technical skill and reach advantage. However, Cristian Cruz Chacon has a realistic chance of causing an upset through power punches if he can neutralize Hill’s reach.

Predicted Score: Jeremy Hill wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds