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FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg, Germany

Game Overview

FC St. Pauli hosts Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga fixture where Leverkusen enter as favorites, looking to capitalize on slightly better recent form and a more consistent away record despite St. Pauli's strong home presence.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Pauli has a solid home record (1-1-0) while Bayer Leverkusen shows inconsistent away results (0-1-0). Leverkusen overall trend is mixed but they have higher quality and recent experience in Bundesliga top-table matches.
  • Recent H2H resulted in a 1-1 draw in April 2025. Leverkusen has dominated implied probabilities previously with nearly 59% implied win chance, showing historical edge but no runaway dominance.
  • No precise injury information available from current data, likely mostly full squads though potential minor absences could slightly tilt balance toward home team resilience.
  • Weather and pitch conditions at Millerntor-Stadion usually favor home side’s physical, pressing style. No major travel fatigue or scheduling conflicts detected.
  • Leverkusen needs points to stabilize mid-table position, motivating an aggressive approach; St. Pauli aims to maintain strong home form to amass crucial points, likely leading to a competitive but close match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen: +125, FC St. Pauli: +210, Draw: +245 Bayer Leverkusen ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bayer Leverkusen -0.25: -105, FC St. Pauli +25: -115 Bayer Leverkusen -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bayer Leverkusen at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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1. FC Heidenheim vs. Augsburg Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Augsburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Voith-Arena

Game Overview

This Bundesliga fixture features newly promoted 1. FC Heidenheim hosting Augsburg. Heidenheim have yet to gain any points this season, struggling with finishing and defense, while Augsburg also underperformed but have slightly better recent form and offensive output. Both sides are in relegation battles and highly motivated for a positive result.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heidenheim have lost all four league matches this season and have shown poor clinical finishing despite some competitive play. Augsburg began with an away win but have since lost three straight, showing defensive vulnerabilities but with more goal-scoring consistency.
  • In their last six meetings, Augsburg has had the upper hand except for one 4-0 home loss to Heidenheim last season. This suggests Augsburg holds a slight psychological advantage but Heidenheim’s home form in these matchups isn’t negligible.
  • No significant injury reports available that suggest key players missing from either squad, indicating near full-strength lineups expected.
  • Match played at Voith-Arena giving home advantage to Heidenheim. Both teams play high-pressure football due to relegation zone proximity which may increase intensity and scoring chances.
  • Heidenheim is in desperate need of points to avoid early relegation troubles. Augsburg also battles from a low table position, making this a crucial game for confidence and standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +174, away: +146, draw: +255 Augsburg ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home_0: +102, away_0: -122 Augsburg 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over_2.75: -105, under_2.75: -115 Over 2.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Augsburg 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Augsburg at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Augsburg to win on the moneyline, covering a draw-no-bet spread; over 2.75 goals for total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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FSV Mainz 05 vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: MEWA Arena, Mainz, Germany

Game Overview

Borussia Dortmund, currently 2nd in the Bundesliga, face FSV Mainz 05 who sit 13th, at Mainz’s home ground. Dortmund have a strong start to the season with 3 wins and 1 draw; Mainz’s form is inconsistent. Dortmund’s offense is more potent, and Mainz has struggled defensively at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dortmund hold a 3-1-0 record with a potent attack and solid away form; Mainz have a 1-1-2 record, conceding 4 goals in 4 matches and failing to keep a clean sheet this season.
  • Recent encounters show Dortmund winning the last match 3-1 in March 2025 after losing two previous trips to Mainz, indicating Dortmund have the edge but matches have been competitive.
  • No major injuries reported for either side at present; Dortmund’s squad appears healthier and more stable. Mainz’s offensive key players are currently available.
  • Playing at MEWA Arena provides Mainz home advantage, but crowd support and stadium factors appear insufficient to offset Dortmund’s quality edge.
  • Dortmund are motivated to consolidate a top league position aiming for the title chase; Mainz are motivated to climb the table and avoid relegation struggles but have struggled against top teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +225, away: +107, draw: +275 Borussia Dortmund ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Borussia Dortmund -0.25: -122, FSV Mainz 05 +25: +102 Borussia Dortmund -0.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over 3: -110, under 3: -110 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Borussia Dortmund 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Borussia Dortmund to win

Predicted Score: Borussia Dortmund 2 – 1 FSV Mainz 05


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VfL Wolfsburg vs. RB Leipzig Prediction Bundesliga in Soccer

Match Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany

Game Overview

VfL Wolfsburg (1-2-1) hosts RB Leipzig (3-0-1) in a Bundesliga matchup with Leipzig sitting 3rd and Wolfsburg 12th in the standings. Wolfsburg shows moderate offensive output but a leaky defense without a clean sheet so far. Leipzig brings strong form and a recent win in their last H2H but has some road vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wolfsburg has scored 7 goals and conceded 6 this season with a 1.25 points per game average; Leipzig holds a superior record with 9 points from 4 matches, showing better consistency and recent winning form.
  • The most recent matchup ended 3-2 in favor of Leipzig, indicating a competitive and high-scoring rivalry with Leipzig edging in attack.
  • No major injury data reported for either side at kickoff, suggesting near full-strength squads for both teams.
  • Match at Wolfsburg's home ground may provide them some edge; Leipzig's slight road form weakness noted.
  • Leipzig aims to maintain their top-tier league position with momentum, while Wolfsburg looks to climb away from lower mid-table and leverage home support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +149, away: +162, draw: +270 RB Leipzig ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread RB Leipzig: -105, VfL Wolfsburg: -115 VfL Wolfsburg +0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 3.25: +102, Under 3.25: -122 Under 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline RB Leipzig 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: RB Leipzig at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

RB Leipzig moneyline win, Wolfsburg +0 spread, under 3.25 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction Inter Miami CF -102 146%
Colorado Rapids vs. Minnesota United FC Prediction Colorado Rapids 123 98%
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas Prediction Under 2.5 134 45%

Combined Odds: +933 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $206.68

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Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Justin Tafa vs. Louie Sutherland Prediction Under 1.5 124 57%
Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya Prediction Under 2.5 150 55%
Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny Prediction Under 2.5 114 46%

Combined Odds: +1098 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $239.68

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Under 8 -110 24%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 7.5 -102 19%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 8.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +649 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $149.75

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Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Utah State Aggies Prediction Vanderbilt Commodores -2100 920%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Lindenwood Lions Prediction Miami (OH) RedHawks -1400 683%
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers Prediction Tennessee Volunteers -310 135%

Combined Odds: -206 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $29.69

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Estoril vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Sporting Lisbon Win -310 ★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Lorient vs. AS Monaco Prediction AS Monaco Win -168 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Santa Clara vs. Tondela Prediction Santa Clara Win -145 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +256

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $71.3

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3 Pick Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Luan Duarte vs. Leon Hill Prediction Leon Hill Win -500 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Badreddine Diani vs. Amir Fazli Prediction Badreddine Diani Win -405 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Xavier Alaoui vs. Islam Youssef Prediction Xavier Alaoui Win -720 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -142

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $34.08

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