Match Analysis: Darragh Kelly vs Bakhtiyar Abdulaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Europe 3, Nantes, France

Game Overview

Darragh Kelly, a heavily favored fighter with dominant recent performances in PFL Europe, goes up against underdog Bakhtiyar Abdulaev, who has shown potential but less consistent results at this level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Darragh Kelly has demonstrated strong finishing skills and control in his last three fights, winning decisively without significant damage. Abdulaev has mixed recent form, with some solid wins but also questionable defense and endurance.
• No previous meeting between Kelly and Abdulaev, so no direct comparison exists; analysis relies on stylistic matchups and recent performance trends.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the contest, indicating both are likely at peak physical condition.
• The fight takes place on European soil in PFL Europe 3, with Kelly possibly having a slight home continent advantage and stronger fan support.
• Kelly appears highly motivated to advance his standing in the PFL Europe lightweight division, whereas Abdulaev seems motivated but faces higher pressure as the clear underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Darragh Kelly to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Kelly wins by TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Maria Guedez Jr vs Kiya O'Sullivan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Le Zénith, Nantes, France

Game Overview

This women's strawweight bout at PFL Europe 3 features two debut fighters, Maria Guedez Jr and Kiya O'Sullivan, with no prior professional MMA records available. Both are untested in professional competition, making the match a test of raw talent and preparation.

Key Factors to Consider

• No professional fight records or recent fighter form are available for either competitor, limiting statistical performance analysis.
• No prior head-to-head bouts or related historical data exist between the two fighters.
• No injury reports or physical setbacks have been disclosed for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• The fight takes place in Nantes, France, providing a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters presumably have equal acclimatization conditions.
• Both debutants likely have high motivation to establish themselves in the PFL Europe competitive framework and secure future opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Kiya O'Sullivan to win

Predicted Score: Kiya O'Sullivan wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Claudio Pacella vs Aleksandr Chizov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Nantes, France

Game Overview

Aleksandr Chizov (-164) faces Claudio Pacella (+134) in a PFL Europe 3 lightweight bout, where Chizov opens as favorite due to more consistent recent performances and favorable odds movement.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chizov has shown stronger recent form with multiple wins in PFL and professional bouts, whereas Pacella has a mixed record and fewer high-profile wins.
• No recorded previous encounter between Claudio Pacella and Aleksandr Chizov, making direct matchup data unavailable.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the matchup.
• Fight takes place in Nantes, France, a neutral venue for both, minimizing home advantage. Both fighters are competing in PFL Europe, indicating similar preparation levels.
• Chizov's recent upward career trajectory in PFL Europe likely increases his motivation and confidence; Pacella has incentives but less momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Aleksandr Chizov to win by straight victory on the moneyline, with a decision inside the distance expected under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Aleksandr Chizov wins by decision or finish within 2 rounds

Match Analysis: Connor Hughes vs Gino van Steenis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Zenith Nantes Metropole, France

Game Overview

The lightweight bout at PFL Europe 3 features England's Connor Hughes (11-2) against Spain's Gino van Steenis (6-1). Hughes is known for his hard-hitting KO power and riding momentum from a recent devastating KO victory. Van Steenis presents a well-rounded skillset and is considered a tough opponent aiming to upset Hughes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Connor Hughes has demonstrated significant striking power with recent KO wins, showing momentum and confidence. Gino van Steenis has an excellent record with only one loss and a balanced fighting style, but less recent knockout hype.
• No recorded previous matchups between Hughes and van Steenis, making this a fresh contest with no direct past outcomes.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight, both are expected to compete at full health.
• Fight takes place in France, neutral ground likely minimizing home advantage. Hughes fights with confidence from a recent knockout while van Steenis shows tactical composure as a technical striker.
• Both fighters are motivated to advance in the PFL Europe lightweight tournament and secure momentum for the $100,000 purse and championship, but Hughes appears slightly more motivated based on recent striking success and crowd momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Connor Hughes to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Connor Hughes wins by 2nd round KO

Match Analysis: Vincent del Guerra vs Sofiane Aïssaoui – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Zenith Nantes Metropole, Nantes, France

Game Overview

This middleweight MMA matchup pits veteran Vincent del Guerra (35, 32-22-1 record) against technically skilled Sofiane Aïssaoui (34, 11-6-0). Del Guerra has a greater volume of fights and experience but a negative win/loss ratio, while Aïssaoui shows a more balanced record and slightly longer reach.

Key Factors to Consider

• Del Guerra has more fights but has lost significantly more; he tends to win by KO/TKO and submissions evenly. Aïssaoui has fewer fights but maintains a positive record with a strong submission game and decent knockout power. Recent form suggests both fighters remain active but no clear winning streak favors either.
• No documented direct prior matchups or results exist between del Guerra and Aïssaoui.
• No publicly available reports of injuries or weight-cutting issues for either fighter; both made weight successfully at the latest weigh-ins.
• The bout takes place at PFL Europe 3 in Nantes, France, effectively a home advantage for French fighter del Guerra. The venue and event are high profile with live broadcast.
• Del Guerra likely motivated to prove himself due to a losing record and home crowd. Aïssaoui, with a positive record and skill set, is motivated to establish dominance and capitalize on underdog status given the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Vincent del Guerra to win by moneyline given experience, home advantage, and current bookmaker support.

Predicted Score: Vincent del Guerra wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Boris Mbarga Atangana vs Jhony Gregory – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: The Zenith Nantes Metropole, Nantes, France

Game Overview

This Light Heavyweight showcase bout features the undefeated Boris Mbarga Atangana (6-0) taking on Jhony Gregory (10-4), who is on a three-fight win streak. Mbarga Atangana is a dominant, rising prospect known for his power and striking, while Gregory brings experience and momentum but is the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mbarga Atangana is undefeated, demonstrating consistent dominance and finishing ability, while Gregory has a solid record but has suffered 4 losses and is newer to PFL Europe. Mbarga's last victory in Brussels was particularly impressive.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these fighters, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter prior to this bout.
• The fight takes place at PFL Europe 3 in Nantes, France, which is considered neutral ground. Mbarga trains out of Team Sendo in Brussels, close to the event location, possibly granting slight home crowd advantage.
• Mbarga Atangana aims to maintain his undefeated streak and solidify his status in the PFL Europe, while Gregory is motivated to stop the hype train and extend his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Boris Mbarga Atangana to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Boris Mbarga Atangana wins by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Sebastien Di Franco vs Mark Ewen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Europe Week 3 Event, Nantes, France

Game Overview

Sebastien Di Franco faces Mark Ewen in the PFL Europe 3 MMA bout. Mark Ewen enters as the strong favorite with moneyline odds around -310 to -345, indicating his superior recent form and experience. Sebastien Di Franco is the underdog at +230 to +240 odds but remains a dangerous competitor. The fight is expected to be competitive but with Ewen favored due to consistency and fight style advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mark Ewen has shown solid recent form with consistent victories in the PFL circuit, while Sebastien Di Franco has had mixed results recently, affecting confidence and momentum.
• No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between the fighters, so styles and recent performances weigh more heavily.
• No current injury reports affecting either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full strength.
• Event on home soil for PFL Europe, with both fighters accustomed to competing internationally; Mark Ewen's experience fighting in larger promotions likely psychologically advantageous.
• Mark Ewen has strong motivation to solidify his standing in PFL rankings due to his winning streak; Di Franco is motivated to upset the favorite but lacks recent signature wins.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Mark Ewen to win via decision

Predicted Score: Mark Ewen wins by decision (3-0 rounds)

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