The main event at Dana Whiteβs Contender Series Season 9 Week 7 features undefeated Croatian Dani Barbir (7-0) taking on Lithuanian Mantas Kondratavicius (7-1). Both middleweights are known for striking with finishing capabilities. Barbir has proven championship pedigree regionally but withdrew from a recent fight due to injury, raising minor concerns. Kondratavicius, meanwhile, is on a two-fight win streak and boasts a kickboxing background, giving him an edge in striking variety and clinch work. The fight is scheduled for three five-minute rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
Barbir is undefeated at 7-0 with a strong regional championship background, but has a recent withdrawal due to injury. Kondratavicius has a 7-1 record with four KOs and recently won two straight fights, including a quick stoppage in March 2025, highlighting his finishing ability and experience against durable opponents.
No prior head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
Barbir withdrew from a May 2025 bout against Piotr Strus due to injury, causing some question marks about his current physical state. Kondratavicius has no disclosed recent injuries and appears fight-ready.
The bout takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral site but a high-pressure environment with a UFC contract on the line, adding motivation. Barbir fights near home in Croatia regionally but is facing a distinctly higher level here.
Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract. Barbir tries to maintain his perfect record and capitalize on his championship pedigree, while Kondratavicius aims to spoil the undefeated run and build his resume with a high-profile KO/TKO win.
Brahyan Zurcher and Murtazali Magomedov are two undefeated featherweight prospects meeting on Dana White's Contender Series. Both are 9-0 professionally, but bring contrasting skill sets: Zurcher is a technically polished striker with relentless pace, while Magomedov is a taller, aggressive grappler with strong submission finishing ability. The matchup features a clash between Zurcher's pressure and durability versus Magomedov's early submission threat and control.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters are undefeated; Zurcher has notable success in PFL with powerful striking and good grind-down skills. Magomedov holds a regional featherweight championship, demonstrating finishing ability especially via submissions and strikes inside the first two rounds.
No previous head-to-head matchup. Both fighters are undefeated, making this a high-stakes risk for both.
No reported recent injuries for either fighter. Zurcher had some canceled fights last year but no injuries mentioned. Both appear physically ready.
Fight held at UFC Apex with a live ESPN+ stream in the US and UFC Fight Pass internationally. The platform and exposure increase stakes for both.
Both fighters seek to secure UFC contracts and maintain unbeaten records. Magomedov may lean on his finishing skills early; Zurcher motivated to upset a submission specialist and prove UFC readiness.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Murtazali Magomedov 17%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 83%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline pick for Murtazali Magomedov to win via early submission or TKO due to his finishing prowess and height/pace advantage. Spread pick favors Magomedov by -1.5 rounds given the likelihood of a finish inside the distance. Over/Under pick is Under 1.5 rounds because both have high finish rates and this fight is expected to end before or during the second round.
Predicted Score: Magomedov wins via submission or TKO Round 2
Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Flyweight Division
Game Overview
Flyweight matchup between Sofia Montenegro (6-1) and Jeisla Chaves (5-0) on Dana White's Contender Series. Montenegro is slightly more experienced and tested against better opposition, while Chaves is undefeated but with less proven competition.
Key Factors to Consider
Montenegro has a record of 6-1 with wins by KO/TKO, submission, and decision; Chaves is 5-0 but against unproven opponents with no MMA wins, showing solid striking but unproven ground skills.
No prior encounters between the two fighters.
No publicly reported injuries for either fighter before the contest.
Montenegro trains at the UFC Performance Institute, suggesting better access to elite training resources; Chaves has a Muay Thai base but limited MMA experience.
Both are motivated to secure a UFC contract; Montenegro aims to leverage her broader skill set and experience to make a statement, while Chaves looks for a breakout performance despite less tested opposition.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sofia Montenegro: -188, Jeisla Chaves: +163
Sofia Montenegro
β β β β β 74%
Spread
Sofia Montenegro -1.5: -140, Jeisla Chaves +1.5: +120
Sofia Montenegro -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -145, Under 2.5: +125
Under 2.5 rounds
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sofia Montenegro -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 35%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sofia Montenegro to win by decision
Predicted Score: Sofia Montenegro wins by decision after 3 rounds
Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 7, 145 lbs Division
Game Overview
Justice Torres (12-3, 4-1 last 5) faces Javier Reyes Rugeles (21-5, 3-2 last 5) in a lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Torres is younger with a slight reach advantage, coming off better recent form. Reyes has greater career experience but recent performance has been inconsistent.
Key Factors to Consider
Justice Torres shows stronger recent form with a 4-1 record in his last five fights versus Javier Reyes's 3-2. Torres has a balanced finishing ability but more decision wins recently, while Reyes features more KO and submission finishes historically.
No direct previous head-to-head matchup recorded between Justice Torres and Javier Reyes Rugeles.
No recent or reported injuries affecting either fighter going into this matchup.
Multiple opponent changes for Torres might have disrupted preparation but does not seem to have reduced his readiness. Both fighters motivated by potential UFC contract opportunities.
Both athletes are highly motivated to impress on Contender Series for UFC contracts. Torres might have a slight edge due to more consistent recent success and youth advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Javier Reyes Rugeles: -180, Justice Torres: +155
Javier Reyes Rugeles
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5: -110, Justice Torres +1.5: -110
Javier Reyes Rugeles -1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -155, Under 2.5 rounds: +135
Under 2.5 rounds
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Javier Reyes Rugeles -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 41%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Javier Reyes Rugeles; Spread: Reyes to win by decision; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Javier Reyes Rugeles wins by decision in under 3 rounds
The matchup features undefeated Jair de Oliveira (6-0) against the favored Rafael Tobias (13-1) in a men's light heavyweight bout. Tobias holds a significant experience advantage while Oliveira is young and untested at the top levels.
Key Factors to Consider
Jair de Oliveira is undefeated with 6 wins, showing rising potential but limited top-level experience. Rafael Tobias has 13 wins and 1 loss, demonstrating veteran experience and more fight time at competitive levels.
No prior head-to-head meetings between Oliveira and Tobias; this is their first encounter.
No publicly reported injuries to either fighter ahead of this matchup.
The fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, a high-profile stage providing significant exposure and motivation for both fighters to perform well.
Tobias is favored to further solidify his reputation and climb rankings, Oliveira motivated to maintain undefeated status and break through as a contender.