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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Purdue Boilermakers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Notre Dame Stadium

Game Overview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (0-2) host Purdue Boilermakers (2-1) in a Week 4 NCAA football matchup. Notre Dame struggles with defense giving up 34 points per game, while Purdue boasts a stronger defense allowing only 16.7 points per game. Purdue's offense is balanced with solid passing and rushing stats, whereas Notre Dame’s offense is moderately productive but faces defensive challenges.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Purdue is 2-1 with strong defensive numbers (16.7 points allowed per game) and balanced offense featuring Ryan Browne and Devin Mockobee. Notre Dame is 0-2, scoring 32 points per game but allowing 34, indicating defensive vulnerabilities[1][2].
  • No recent head-to-head data indicates dominance; historical trends favor Notre Dame at home but current form shifts advantage toward Purdue’s defense and momentum[4].
  • No major injuries reported on either side that would significantly impact key positions this week[1][4].
  • Game at Notre Dame Stadium favors home team slightly, but Purdue’s recent form and defensive consistency counterbalance the venue advantage[1][2]. Weather expected to be clear, minimal external disruptions[4].
  • Notre Dame seeks first win of the season on home turf, offering motivation but also pressure. Purdue aims to continue strong start and capitalize on Notre Dame’s defensive woes[1][2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Notre Dame: -3600, Purdue: +1500 Notre Dame β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Notre Dame -25.5 (-110), Purdue +25.5 (-110) Purdue +25.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 54.5 (-108), Under 54.5 (-112) Under 54.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Notre Dame Fighting Irish -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 54.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Notre Dame to win moneyline due to home advantage and superior scoring ability, but likely to fall short against the spread given Purdue’s resilience and Notre Dame’s defensive weaknesses. Total points expected under 54.5 considering Purdue’s defensive strength and Notre Dame’s early-season struggles.

Predicted Score: Notre Dame 28 – Purdue 10


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Ohio Bobcats vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Ohio Bobcats vs Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Frank Solich Field at Peden Stadium, Athens

Game Overview

The Ohio Bobcats host the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs. Ohio comes in slightly underperforming at 1-2 but has covered the spread in all recent games, while Gardner-Webb holds a 2-1 record. Ohio is a dominant favorite based on odds, with a large point spread reflecting expected control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ohio Bobcats are 1-2 overall but 3-0 against the spread in last 5 games and 2-0 ATS on the road. Gardner-Webb is 2-1 but considered a strong underdog. Ohio’s defense held West Virginia to 10 points recently.
  • No recent or notable direct matchups available, so form and situational factors guide the prediction.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or key positions.
  • Game at Ohio’s home stadium with mild 84F weather, no rain or wind expected. Home advantage is a factor here.
  • Ohio aims to secure a strong home win after a slow start to their season. Gardner-Webb looks to prove competitiveness on the road against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ohio Bobcats -2800, Gardner-Webb +1160 Ohio Bobcats β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 88%
Spread Ohio Bobcats -22.5 -110, Gardner-Webb +22.5 -110 Ohio Bobcats -22.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 51.5 -105, Under 51.5 -115 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ohio Bobcats -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 31%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ohio Bobcats to win convincingly covering the -22.5 spread, with the total score expected to stay under 51.5 points due to Ohio’s strong defensive performance and pace control.

Predicted Score: Ohio Bobcats 38 – Gardner-Webb 12


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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stafford-Smith Field at Waldo Stadium

Game Overview

Toledo Rockets (2-1) visit Western Michigan Broncos (0-3) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Toledo shows strong recent form with an 8-1 record in September games over the last season, while Western Michigan struggles with no wins so far this season and has a strong tendency for games to go under the set total.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toledo is performing significantly better this season with a 2-1 record compared to Western Michigan's 0-3. Toledo's offense and defense efficiency markedly outpace Western Michigan's, contributing to a dominant expectation.
  • Recently Toledo has dominated Western Michigan, often winning by large margins, supporting the large spread favoring Toledo.
  • No significant injuries reported that would alter the expected dominant performance of Toledo or significantly bolster Western Michigan.
  • Home field advantage applies to Western Michigan but is unlikely to offset wide quality and form gap. Weather and other external conditions expected to be neutral.
  • Toledo is motivated to maintain strong standing early in the MAC, while Western Michigan fights to avoid a disastrous start, but motivation alone unlikely to bridge the quality gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline toledo: -650, western_michigan: +470 Toledo Rockets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread toledo: -108, western_michigan: -112 Toledo Rockets -14.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toledo Rockets -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Betting on Toledo Rockets moneyline and the point spread (-14.5) represents high expected value. For total points, taking under 50.5 is preferred given Western Michigan's low scoring and strong tendency to keep games under the total line.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 34 – Western Michigan Broncos 12


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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Tulane Green Wave Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Game Overview

The Ole Miss Rebels and Tulane Green Wave both enter this Week 4 matchup undefeated at 3-0. Ole Miss, ranked No. 13 nationally, is a strong favorite playing at home. Tulane has shown quality performances but is viewed as the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ole Miss demonstrates a strong offense and defense through their first three games, showing consistency and dominance against quality opponents. Tulane is 3-0 as well but has faced a softer schedule and has less top-tier experience.
  • Recent H2H meetings favor Ole Miss but are limited. Tulane has not upset Ole Miss recently. Historical matchups show Ole Miss as the more dominant program.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups significantly. Both teams are near full strength.
  • The game is at Ole Miss's home stadium, offering a strong home-field advantage. Weather conditions expected to be typical for the season with no major disruptions.
  • Ole Miss is motivated to maintain its undefeated record and climb rankings to strengthen playoff positioning. Tulane aims to secure a statement win against a top-ranked opponent to boost program prestige.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ole Miss Rebels: -430, Tulane Green Wave: +330 Ole Miss Rebels β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 81%
Spread Ole Miss Rebels -12.5: -110, Tulane Green Wave +12.5: -110 Ole Miss Rebels -12.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 61.5: -105, Under 61.5: -115 Over 61.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ole Miss Rebels -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 61.5 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ole Miss Rebels to win outright on moneyline, cover the 12.5 point spread, and the game to go over the 61.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 38 – Tulane Green Wave 21


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Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti

Game Overview

Eastern Michigan Eagles, struggling with a 0-3 start, host the 1-2 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns. Louisiana is favored on the moneyline and by 2.5 points, but the matchup suggests a close contest with value on the home underdog given recent trends and team performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eastern Michigan is 0-3 overall but 1-2 ATS recently. They have performed better ATS at home, going 2-0 against teams allowing under 310 yards. Louisiana is 1-2 overall, favored but with inconsistent play.
  • Limited recent H2H data; no strong dominance evident. Trends favor close games, making spread betting viable.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team as of current information.
  • Game at Eastern Michigan’s home stadium with mild weather (77Β°F, no rain, slight wind), neutral impact but home field advantage present.
  • Both teams looking to avoid early-season losses; Eastern Michigan has higher motivation at home to break losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eastern Michigan Eagles: +114, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns: -135 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Eastern Michigan Eagles +2.5: -108, Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -2.5: -112 Eastern Michigan Eagles +2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 50.5: -110, Under 50.5: -110 Under 50.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns; Spread: Eastern Michigan +2.5; Over/Under: Under 50.5

Predicted Score: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 24 – Eastern Michigan Eagles 21


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Florida State Seminoles vs. Kent State Golden Flashes Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Florida State Seminoles vs Kent State Golden Flashes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium

Game Overview

Florida State Seminoles (2-0) host Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2) in a matchup where Florida State is heavily favored due to superior recent form, home-field advantage, and talent disparity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Florida State is unbeaten (2-0) showing strong offense and defense early in the season, while Kent State struggles with a 1-2 record and inconsistent performances.
  • Limited recent direct matchups, but historical data and program strength heavily favor Florida State.
  • No significant injuries reported for Florida State; Kent State's key players are also reportedly healthy, though depth is a concern.
  • Game played at Florida State's home stadium giving Seminoles a strong crowd and travel advantage; Florida State's ACC membership gives higher competition exposure than Kent State's MAC affiliation.
  • Florida State aims to solidify their dominance early in the season, while Kent State looks for a major upset to boost morale and season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -99900 (Florida State), +2400 (Kent State) Florida State Seminoles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 93%
Spread -45.5 -110 (Florida State), +45.5 -110 (Kent State) Florida State Seminoles -45.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 55.5 -115, Under 55.5 -105 Under 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 37%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Florida State Seminoles to win straight up with a strong cover on the spread; game expected to be under the total points line

Predicted Score: Florida State 42 – Kent State 7


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UCF Knights vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs North Carolina Tar Heels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Acrisure Bounce House

Game Overview

The UCF Knights host the North Carolina Tar Heels in a Week 4 NCAAF contest. UCF enters undefeated at 2-0, showing strong home form, while North Carolina is 2-1 and improving offensively under a new system. The game features contrasting styles with UCF favored as hosts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • UCF is 2-0 with solid home performances and a favored -6.5 spread, but has yet to face top-tier opponents. North Carolina is 2-1, showing clear offensive improvement and has covered spreads recently, including a strong 35-point win over Richmond.
  • Recent matchups slightly favor UCF with better home success and the current odds suggesting a gap. No recent direct matchups suggest dominance; both teams have comparable medium-term records.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starters on either side as of current information, maintaining lineup integrity.
  • UCF plays at home in the Acrisure Bounce House, leveraging strong home crowd advantage. North Carolina is adapting well but travels after a robust week of preparation.
  • UCF aims to continue their perfect home start and prove their high ranking as favorites. North Carolina seeks redemption and to demonstrate growth, with a coaching staff led by Bill Belichick boosting morale and strategic edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline UCF Knights: -245, North Carolina Tar Heels: +198 UCF Knights β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread UCF Knights -6.5: -120, North Carolina Tar Heels +6.5: -102 UCF Knights -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -110, Under 47.5: -110 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline UCF Knights -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Predict UCF Knights to win straight-up on the moneyline, cover the -6.5 spread, and the under 47.5 points to hold given defensive strengths and moderate expected scoring pace.

Predicted Score: UCF 31 – North Carolina 20


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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Auburn Tigers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Oklahoma Sooners vs Auburn Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium

Game Overview

The Oklahoma Sooners host the Auburn Tigers in a pivotal Week 4 matchup featuring two undefeated teams with differing stylistic strengths. Oklahoma has displayed dominant defense and efficient offense at home, while Auburn has been resilient on the road despite offensive challenges.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oklahoma is 3-0 with a top 15 national defense, allowing just 19 points total and generating heavy pressure. Auburn is also 3-0, with solid resilience including a notable win at Baylor despite penalties and being outgained.
  • Recent data suggests a defensive edge for Oklahoma, especially given their head coach Brent Venables’ intimate knowledge of Auburn’s QB Jackson Arnold’s weaknesses, particularly against pressure and blitz-heavy defenses.
  • No significant injuries reported that would materially impact the core strengths of either team as of this analysis.
  • Weather forecast calls for mostly cloudy skies, mild temperature (85Β°F), and manageable humidity with no heavy precipitation or extreme wind expected; an open stadium environment favors typical home field advantage for Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma aims to protect its home dominance and maintain a high-ranking defensive profile, while Auburn seeks to prove resilience on the road and build momentum in conference play with QB Arnold facing his former team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oklahoma Sooners -235 Oklahoma Sooners β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 -108 Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Under 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oklahoma Sooners -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oklahoma Sooners to win straight up, cover the 6.5 spread, and for the total to go under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Oklahoma Sooners 28, Auburn Tigers 18


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Buffalo Bulls vs. Troy Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs Troy Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls (2-1) host the Troy Trojans (1-2) in a matchup where Buffalo is favored by 6.5 points. Buffalo has shown stronger recent form with a close win over Kent State, while Troy has struggled offensively with two recent losses and only 7 points scored in the last game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo enters with momentum after a 31-28 win over Kent State. Troy has a struggling offense averaging under 100 yards passing recently, with a 7-point output last game against Memphis.
  • No recent detailed head-to-head stats found, but Buffalo's overall stronger form and home field advantage are significant.
  • No major injuries reported that would impact key Buffalo or Troy players significantly.
  • Buffalo playing at home in UB Stadium with ESPN+ TV coverage, which may boost motivation. Weather and other logistical factors appear standard.
  • Buffalo 2-1 record and recent win provides confidence and home crowd motivation. Troy's need to rebound from two straight losses adds pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo: -238, Troy: +195 Buffalo Bulls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Buffalo: -6.5 -110, Troy: +6.5 -110 Buffalo Bulls -6.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 42.5 -110, Under: 42.5 -110 Under 42.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bulls 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bulls to win straight up, cover the 6.5 spread, and the game total to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 28 – Troy Trojans 14


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Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Michigan Wolverines – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Nebraska Cornhuskers Home Stadium

Game Overview

The Michigan Wolverines visit the Nebraska Cornhuskers in a key Big Ten matchup where Michigan is a narrow favorite on the moneyline and spread, with an over/under set near 45.5 points, reflecting an expected competitive and moderately high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michigan enters with strong recent form, holding an 18-2 record in September games over the last years and a solid defense, but has shown some offensive questions, especially in passing. Nebraska has been scoring well recently, averaging around 49 points per game, indicating a potent offense but with some concerns on the line against Michigan's defense.
  • Michigan leads the all-time series 6-4 and has won the last four meetings consecutively, indicating a psychological and historical edge.
  • Michigan is missing key offensive coordinator Sherrone Moore due to suspension and wide receiver Giovanni El-Hadi remains out. Rod Moore and offensive guard Brady Norton are probable to play. Nebraska has minor returnees expected, such as defensive back Malcolm Hartzog, with no major injuries reported.
  • The game will be played in good weather (high of 80Β°F, low 61Β°F, low wind, and negligible rain chance), negating weather influence. CBS broadcast with top announcers adds to game spotlight and pressure.
  • Nebraska is highly motivated to break their losing streak versus Michigan and prove legitimacy under Matt Rhule’s tenure. Michigan aims to maintain dominance and cover the spread, leveraging their historical position and strong September performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michigan -130, Nebraska +110 Michigan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Michigan -2.5 -108, Nebraska +2.5 -112 Michigan -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Over/under Over 45.5 -112, Under 45.5 -108 Over 45.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michigan Wolverines -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michigan moneyline win

Predicted Score: Michigan 27 – Nebraska 24


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