Match Analysis: Rogerio Bontorin vs Vitaliy Yakimenko – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW Event Venue
Game Overview
The matchup features Rogerio Bontorin, a grappling and submission specialist, against Vitaliy Yakimenko who possesses a striking advantage with powerful punches. This bantamweight main card fight at KSW sets a classic striker versus grappler scenario.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bontorin demonstrates consistent high-level grappling with strong ground control and submission attempts. Yakimenko shows improvements in striking power and recent form, pushing rounds with effective stand-up.
- No previous encounters found between these fighters, making this a fresh stylistic clash.
- No current injury reports affecting either fighter, so both seem healthy and ready for the bout.
- The fight is held at KSW, a familiar promotion for both, minimizing external adaptation issues. Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in the bantamweight division.
- Bontorin’s experience and desire to reestablish dominance in grappling-heavy fights contrasts with Yakimenko’s motivation to capitalize on striking improvements and score an upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bontorin -275 / Yakimenko +200 | Rogerio Bontorin | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Bontorin -1.5 (-150), Yakimenko +1.5 (+130) | Rogerio Bontorin -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rogerio Bontorin to win by submission
Predicted Score: Rogerio Bontorin wins via submission in round 2