North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Richmond Spiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football North Carolina Tar Heels Richmond Spiders September 13, 2025

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Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Richmond Spiders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Game Overview

North Carolina Tar Heels and Richmond Spiders both enter Week 3 with 1-1 records, facing off in Chapel Hill. UNC is heavily favored, with a strong historical edge and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• UNC has shown solid but not dominant form, splitting their first two games. Richmond is also 1-1 but has less recent success against UNC historically.
• UNC leads the all-time series 12-2. The last meeting was in 1978, with Richmond winning that game, but UNC has generally dominated historically.
• No significant injury reports impacting starters from either team are currently noted, implying both squads should be near full strength.
• Weather is projected to be ideal football conditions: 78°F at kickoff with light 8 MPH winds, no rain expected.
• UNC aims to build momentum ahead of tougher ACC games, including Clemson. Richmond seeks to upset a Power Five conference foe, providing some underdog motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	North Carolina Tar Heels: -3000, Richmond Spiders: 1200	North Carolina Tar Heels	★★★★☆ 88%
Spread	North Carolina Tar Heels -21.5: -115, Richmond Spiders +21.5: -105	North Carolina Tar Heels -21.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -105	Under 46.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	North Carolina Tar Heels -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 46.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Carolina Tar Heels moneyline; UNC to cover -21.5 spread; Under 46.5 points total

Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 28 – Richmond Spiders 14

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Toledo Rockets vs. Morgan State Bears Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Morgan State Bears September 13, 2025 Toledo Rockets

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Match Analysis: Toledo Rockets vs Morgan State Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

Game Overview

The Toledo Rockets host the Morgan State Bears at the Glass Bowl in a matchup featuring a Toledo team with a 1-1 record going against an 0-2 Morgan State team. Toledo has a significant home advantage and historical dominance when playing on Saturdays at home. Morgan State is struggling with offensive production and defensive lapses, while Toledo has demonstrated stronger form and defensive resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toledo is 1-1 this season, showing balanced offensive and defensive output, averaging around 30.5 points per game. Morgan State is 0-2 with a porous defense allowing 32.5 points per game and limited passing efficiency (62% completion rate, only 1 TD vs 2 INT). Morgan State’s ground game is more productive but insufficient to offset their defensive weaknesses.
• No recent H2H data available, but Toledo’s recent home success on Saturdays (12-1 SU in last 13 games) and historical dominance over weaker programs strongly favors Toledo.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team, indicating both squads should have their main contributors available.
• Temperature of 82°F and no rain with mild wind conditions suggest neutral weather impact. The Glass Bowl home crowd and environment favor Toledo strongly.
• Toledo aims to improve to 2-1 and assert MAC dominance early, while Morgan State is seeking its first win of the season and faces a daunting challenge on the road, likely impacting confidence and motivation levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Toledo -30000, Morgan State +4000	Toledo Rockets	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Toledo -33.5 -110, Morgan State +33.5 -110	Toledo Rockets -33.5	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over 51.5 -110, Under 51.5 -110	Under 51.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Toledo Rockets -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Toledo Rockets dominating with a moneyline win, covering the large spread, and a game total expected to stay under 51.5 points due to Morgan State's weak offense and Toledo's controlled game pace.

Predicted Score: Toledo Rockets 38 – Morgan State Bears 10

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Missouri State Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Missouri State Bears September 13, 2025 SMU Mustangs

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Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs SMU Mustangs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, Missouri

Game Overview

The SMU Mustangs (1-1) visit the Missouri State Bears (1-1) with SMU as heavy favorites both on the moneyline and spread. SMU had a close 48-45 loss to Baylor recently, showing strong offensive firepower, while Missouri State eked out a narrow 21-20 win versus Marshall. The total points line is set high at 61.5, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• SMU has demonstrated explosive offense but a marginal defense, allowing 48 in their last game. Missouri State has shown resilience winning close games but lacks offensive consistency, averaging fewer yards per play than SMU. Both teams are 1-1, but SMU's offensive efficiency (yards per pass and rush) is superior.
• No prior head-to-head data available; first meeting.
• No significant injury reports available for either team.
• Game is played at Missouri State's home stadium, possibly providing modest home-field advantage for the Bears despite being underdogs.
• SMU looks to rebound from a high-scoring loss and assert conference strength; Missouri State aims to capitalize on home advantage and avoid blowout.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +1300, away: -2800	SMU Mustangs	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	home: +27.5 -105, away: -27.5 -115	Missouri State Bears +27.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: 61.5 -108, under: 61.5 -112	Over 61.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	SMU Mustangs -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 61.5 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take SMU Mustangs moneyline for a strong expected value given overwhelming odds and expected dominance; expect a close contest with Missouri State covering the large spread; game total to go over due to both teams' offensive tendencies.

Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 44, Missouri State Bears 21

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UTSA Roadrunners vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Incarnate Word Cardinals September 13, 2025 UTSA Roadrunners

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Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs Incarnate Word Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Alamodome

Game Overview

UTSA Roadrunners host the Incarnate Word Cardinals in a pivotal early-season matchup. UTSA enters struggling with a 0-2 start and difficulties covering big spreads, while Incarnate Word is a modest 1-1 but looking to upset on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• UTSA has historically been strong but is off to a poor start with 0-2 and has lost six of its last seven September games, recently failing to cover large spreads. Incarnate Word is 1-1 with an improving offense led by Richard Torres (QBs) and efficient rushing attack. UTSA's defense has been vulnerable, giving opponents ample yardage.
• Limited recent H2H data available, but UTSA historically dominates the matchup. However, recent form suggests the Cardinals could challenge the spread significantly.
• No major injuries reported for either team that would drastically alter team strengths.
• The game is played at the Alamodome, UTSA's home field, giving them a home crowd advantage. However, UTSA's poor September form and motivation could neutralize typical home edge.
• UTSA is motivated to stop its losing skid and avoid another poor start. Incarnate Word aims to build momentum and prove competitive against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -850, away: 570	UTSA Roadrunners win moneyline	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -108, away: -112	Incarnate Word +17.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Under 61.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UTSA Roadrunners -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 61.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite UTSA’s heavy favoring in moneyline and spread odds, the sharp -17.5 spread is risky given their recent struggles against the spread and Incarnate Word’s moderate offensive production. Higher expected value lies in betting Incarnate Word +17.5 on the spread, while moneyline and totals offer less attractive EV due to price imbalance.

Predicted Score: UTSA 34 – Incarnate Word 20

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Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Alice Pereira MMA/Boxing Montserrat Rendon September 13, 2025

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Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

UFC women's Bantamweight prelim fight between undefeated rising prospect Alice Pereira (5-0) and experienced contender Montserrat Rendon (6-1). Pereira is debuting in UFC showcasing high finishing rate, while Rendon is a seasoned competitor with one loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alice Pereira holds a perfect 5-0 record with a high KO finish rate (66.7%), showing aggressive striking and finishing ability. Montserrat Rendon is 6-1, more experienced but with a lower finish rate, often going to decision.
• No prior head-to-head meetings between Pereira and Rendon, making styles and form decisive.
• No known injuries reported for either fighter, both appear fully fit for the matchup.
• Fight is at UFC prelims in San Antonio, neutral venue favoring neither. Pereira is making UFC debut which may add motivation.
• Pereira highly motivated to impress in UFC debut, while Rendon aims to maintain rank and prove superiority over newcomer.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alice Pereira -148, Montserrat Rendon +124	Alice Pereira	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Alice Pereira -3.5 +150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5 -205	Montserrat Rendon +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -280, Under 2.5 +210	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alice Pereira -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 120%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alice Pereira to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by 2nd round KO

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Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Norfolk State Spartans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Norfolk State Spartans Rutgers Scarlet Knights September 13, 2025

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Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Norfolk State Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ

Game Overview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-0) host the Norfolk State Spartans (1-1) in a clear mismatch between an FBS Big Ten team and an FCS opponent. Rutgers are undefeated and playing at home, while Norfolk State struggles with a long road losing streak and lower competitive level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rutgers is 2-0 with strong offensive and defensive performances early this season, covering the spread inconsistently but winning decisively. Norfolk State is 1-1, struggling particularly on the road and against higher-level competition.
• Rutgers leads the all-time series 4-0 against Norfolk State. Norfolk State has lost 10 consecutive games overall and 20 straight away games, including matchups with FBS teams.
• No significant injury reports impacting either team that would change the expected dominant performance by Rutgers.
• Playing at home in SHI Stadium with favorable weather (~80°F, clear, low wind) boosts Rutgers’ likelihood to dominate. Norfolk State’s coach is Michael Vick, but this has not translated to away wins.
• Rutgers, being undefeated and a Big Ten program, is highly motivated to dominate an FCS opponent to maintain ranking and momentum. Norfolk State aims to avoid a blowout but is limited by talent and experience gaps.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rutgers: -100000, Norfolk State: +8000	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	★★★★★ 98%
Spread	Rutgers -42.5: -110, Norfolk State +42.5: -110	Rutgers -42.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 51.5: -110, Under 51.5: -110	Over 51.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 51.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rutgers Scarlet Knights will decisively cover the large spread and the total will go over the line given expected offensive output from Rutgers and Norfolk State’s ability to generate some points.

Predicted Score: Rutgers 56 – Norfolk State 10

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Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Purdue Boilermakers September 13, 2025 USC Trojans

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Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs USC Trojans – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana

Game Overview

The USC Trojans (2-0) visit the Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) in a key Big Ten clash with USC heavily favored. USC is coming off dominant wins and has shown superior offensive efficiency, while Purdue has solid but less explosive performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• USC has demonstrated offensive explosiveness with wins of 59-20 and 73-13, showing strong passing and scoring ability without turnovers. Purdue also undefeated but with less dominant wins (34-17), suggesting a clear gap in scoring capability.
• Recent H2H meetings show USC typically holds the edge, and the betting markets imply a 20.5 point favorite status on USC, underscoring past dominance and current form advantages.
• No significant injuries reported for key USC players like QB Jayden Maiava, who leads with high completion rates and zero interceptions. Purdue’s roster appears healthy but lacks star impact players comparable to USC’s.
• Home venue advantage to Purdue at Ross-Ade Stadium, but likely insufficient against USC’s superior talent and form. Weather and other conditions expected to be neutral.
• Both teams are 2-0 and motivated to stay undefeated early in the season; USC’s aim to extend dominant showings and Purdue to prove themselves against a top opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	USC -1800 / Purdue +920	USC Trojans	★★★★☆ 88%
Spread	Purdue +21.5 -120 / USC -21.5 -102	USC Trojans -21.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 58.5 -110 / Under 58.5 -110	Over 58.5 points	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	USC Trojans -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 58.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

USC Trojans to win moneyline, cover the -21.5 spread, and the game to go over 58.5 points

Predicted Score: USC Trojans 41 – Purdue Boilermakers 19

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North Texas Mean Green vs. Washington State Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football North Texas Mean Green September 13, 2025 Washington State Cougars

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Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas

Game Overview

Both North Texas Mean Green and Washington State Cougars enter the game undefeated at 2-0. North Texas has shown strong offensive output with a 51-0 blowout and a close 33-30 win, while Washington State has allowed fewer points defensively in their recent 36-13 victory. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total points projection.

Key Factors to Consider

• North Texas averages 48 points per game with balanced passing and rushing offense, holding opponents to 15 points per game. Washington State averages 24.5 points per game, excels defensively allowing only 11.5 points per game, and relies more on passing yards. Washington State has struggled to cover recent spreads, while North Texas is strong at home as favorites.
• Limited recent direct matchups; no recent H2H data strongly favors either side. North Texas home advantage and recent form against similar opponents give them the edge in this matchup.
• No significant injury reports available for either team, so both teams are presumed healthy.
• Game played at North Texas home stadium; travel and hostile environment may slightly favor the Mean Green. Weather is expected to be typical for Denton, Texas in September, unlikely to impact play significantly.
• Both teams 2-0, early season momentum is important. North Texas looks to maintain home dominance and continue strong offensive performances. Washington State aims to establish themselves as top contenders and prove oddsmakers wrong despite underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -230, away: +190	North Texas Mean Green	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: -108, away: -112	North Texas -6	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: -115, under: -105	Over 58.5	★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	North Texas Mean Green 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 58.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Mean Green to cover the 6-point spread and win the game outright, with the total going over 58.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – Washington State Cougars 26

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Georgia Bulldogs September 13, 2025 Tennessee Volunteers

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Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Georgia Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) host the Georgia Bulldogs (2-0) in an early-season SEC showdown. Georgia enters as a -3.5 favorite with a total set at 49.5 points. Tennessee has shown explosive offense recently, scoring 72 points in their last game, while Georgia relies on a strong defense and a rookie QB making his first true SEC road start.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tennessee Volunteers have displayed potent offense with a 72-17 rout last game, while Georgia won 28-6 but has shown some offensive shakiness under rookie QB Gunner Stockton.
• Recent meetings favor Georgia slightly, but Tennessee has home-field advantage at Neyland Stadium, a notoriously tough venue for visitors.
• No major injury updates have significantly shifted the betting line recently, indicating both teams should be near full strength.
• Line movement and betting percentages indicate strong public money on Tennessee against the spread, and the environment at Neyland favors motivated home fans.
• Both teams are undefeated and highly ranked, with significant SEC and postseason implications; Tennessee may have extra motivation to prove themselves at home against a top-10 opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Georgia Bulldogs: -180, Tennessee Volunteers: 150	Tennessee Volunteers	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Georgia Bulldogs: -110, Tennessee Volunteers: -110	Tennessee Volunteers +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: -110, Under: -110	Over 49.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Georgia Bulldogs 35%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 49.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Georgia Bulldogs at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee Volunteers to cover the spread and keep this game close, with an upset potential on the moneyline given Georgia's offensive inconsistencies and Tennessee's hot offense and home-field edge.

Predicted Score: Georgia Bulldogs 27 – Tennessee Volunteers 24

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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oregon State Beavers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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American Football Oregon State Beavers September 13, 2025 Texas Tech Red Raiders

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Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oregon State Beavers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock

Game Overview

Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0) host Oregon State Beavers (0-2) at Jones AT&T Stadium. Texas Tech is heavily favored with strong recent form and home advantage, while Oregon State struggles but has shown some offensive promise.

Key Factors to Consider

• Texas Tech is 5-0 in their last 5 games and 2-0 this season, showing strong offensive output and solid defense. Oregon State is 0-2 this season, with a struggling defense ranked near the bottom nationally but an improving offense led by QB Maalik Murphy.
• Limited recent head-to-head data; however, Texas Tech has demonstrated dominance as a ranked team, while Oregon State is underdog.
• No significant injuries reported impacting starters on either team.
• Game at Texas Tech’s home field with stable weather conditions (84°F, minimal rain, low wind). Texas Tech benefits from home crowd and altitude.
• Texas Tech seeks to maintain undefeated status and top-25 ranking momentum; Oregon State looks to break the losing streak and prove competitiveness on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Texas Tech -3000, Oregon State +1200	Texas Tech	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Texas Tech -23.5 (-118), Oregon State +23.5 (-104)	Texas Tech -23.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 61.5 (-106), Under 61.5 (-114)	Under 61.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Texas Tech Red Raiders -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 61.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech covers the large spread and wins convincingly; total points come under the posted line due to Oregon State's weak defense limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38 – Oregon State 18

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