Match Analysis: Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, USA
Game Overview
MLS match between Atlanta United FC and Columbus Crew SC at Atlanta's home ground, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with Columbus currently higher in league standing and better recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atlanta United has struggled recently with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in last 5 matches, scoring an average 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8. Columbus Crew shows stronger form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per match.
- Historically, Columbus Crew leads with 13 wins to Atlanta's 7 in 24 matches since 2017. Recent H2H also slightly favors Columbus. Overall, Columbus has shown consistent superiority in these matchups.
- No specific injury data provided; assume typical squad availability with no major missing starters for either side.
- Home advantage for Atlanta United at Mercedes-Benz Stadium may boost performance but recent form and standings indicate Columbus as the stronger side.
- Columbus Crew is positioned higher in MLS standings, likely motivated to secure points for playoff contention. Atlanta United is lower in the table with less recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 163 / 140 / 280 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | -0.5 133 | Columbus Crew SC -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5 128 / Under 3.5 -172 | Under 3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Columbus Crew SC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, with the match going under 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-2