Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in a crucial late-season NRL clash at AAMI Park. The Storm, known for their strong home form with a 76% win rate, seek to rebound from recent mixed results, while the Bulldogs aim to upset away despite a lower success rate at this venue.
Key Factors to Consider
Melbourne Storm have won 4 of their last 7 matches with recent defense improvements conceding just 20 points across last two games. Bulldogs have struggled on the road, managing only 4 wins against 7 losses at AAMI Park historically.
In their last meeting on August 22, 2025, Melbourne edged Canterbury 20-14 at home, indicating a tight contest but with Storm control. Historically, Storm dominate this fixture especially at home.
Melbourne is missing Shawn Blore but might get Ryan Papenhuyzen back from reserves, which could add attacking spark. Joe Chan and Bronson Garlick add depth. Bulldogs injury details are less transparent but no major key players flagged.
The Stormβs home crowd and environment at AAMI Park are significant advantages. Weather and pitch conditions are expected neutral with no external disruptions reported.
Melbourne Storm aim to strengthen a playoff positioning boost and reaffirm dominance at home. Bulldogs likely motivated as underdogs to spoil Stormβs campaign late in the season.
The Green Bay Packers host the Washington Commanders in Week 2 of the 2025 NFL season on Thursday Night Football. Both teams enter the game 1-0, and the matchup is tightly contested with the Packers favored by 3.5 points and an over/under of 48.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams started the season strong with Packers winning a dominant game against Detroit (27-13) and Commanders a solid win over the Giants (21-6). Green Bay has been particularly strong at home under coach Matt LaFleur with a long-term winning record and a 4-3 ATS record as favorites by 3.5 points or more last season. Washington demonstrated effective defense and consistent ATS performances when underdogs in 2024, going 5-3-1.
Recent head-to-head data is limited, but the Packers historically hold a slight edge at home. Both teams are well matched, though the Packers' home advantage and offensive execution give them an edge in this matchup.
No significant injury reports of key starters for either side have been identified ahead of this game. Both teams appear near full strength, allowing their starting quarterbacksβJordan Love for Green Bay and Jayden Daniels for Washingtonβto lead unimpeded.
Playing on prime-time Thursday night adds a national spotlight and pressure. Green Bayβs home crowd and historical success at Lambeau Field on prime time boost their confidence. Washington faces the difficulty of travel and playing in a strong atmosphere.
Both teams want to maintain unbeaten starts, but Green Bayβs motivation is enhanced by protecting its home record and spread success. Washington aims to prove itself on the road against a traditional contender and maintain momentum following an upset division win last week.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Green Bay Packers -180, Washington Commanders +150
Green Bay Packers win
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Green Bay Packers -3.5 -105, Washington Commanders +3.5 -115
Green Bay Packers -3.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 48.5 -105, Under 48.5 -115
Under 48.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Green Bay Packers -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 48.5 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Green Bay Packers moneyline win, Packers to cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score to go under 48.5 points.
Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24 – Washington Commanders 17