Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC
Game Overview
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons and NC State Wolfpack both enter this Week 3 matchup undefeated at 2-0. NC State is favored on the road with a strong offense led by QB CJ Bailey and RB Hollywood Smothers, while Wake Forest seeks to defend their home turf after last season's home loss to NC State. Both teams have shown solid offensive output but average defense, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- NC State has a balanced offensive attack with a 70.2% completion rate from CJ Bailey, 518 passing yards, and a ground game averaging 160.5 yards per game. Defensively, NC State allows 24 points and 463.5 yards per game. Wake Forest is 2-0 with solid recent performances but has shown mixed results against the spread and low over totals historically at home.
- Last season, Wake Forest defeated NC State at home, but NC State has won three straight overall. The teams are competitive with no clear dominance, adding significance to this early season ACC matchup.
- No significant injuries reported that would impact key players from either team.
- Game will be played at night with comfortable weather (~73Β°F), no rain, and mild wind. Venue is home for Wake Forest, which usually offers an advantage.
- Both teams are undefeated and looking to maintain momentum early in the season. NC State aims to assert dominance on the road, while Wake Forest wants to defend home turf after last year's loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack: -260, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 210 | NC State Wolfpack to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | NC State Wolfpack: -6.5 -120, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: +6.5 -102 | NC State to cover -6.5 spread | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 53.5 -112, Under: 53.5 -108 | Over 53.5 points total | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 53.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NC State is predicted to win by a touchdown margin due to their more effective offense and recent form, though Wake Forest's home advantage and strong defensive adjustments could keep it competitive.
Predicted Score: NC State 31 – Wake Forest 24