Match Analysis: Chasen Blair vs Samuel Sanches – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-10
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated grappler Chasen Blair and powerful striker Samuel Sanches on Dana White's Contender Series Week 5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chasen Blair is undefeated with strong grappling and recent submission wins, while Samuel Sanches boasts 6 KOs in 10 wins with lightning-fast striking and improved takedown defense.
• No previous head-to-head matchups between Blair and Sanches.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of fight.
• Fight is part of a high-stakes DWCS event, encouraging aggressive performances to impress UFC matchmakers.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure UFC contracts; Blair seeks to showcase grappling dominance, Sanches aims to maintain his knockout streak and aggressive reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chasen Blair: +110, Samuel Sanches: -130	Samuel Sanches	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Sanches -1.5 rounds: -120, Blair +1.5 rounds: +100	Samuel Sanches -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Samuel Sanches -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuel Sanches to win via early knockout

Predicted Score: Samuel Sanches wins by KO/TKO Round 1 or 2

Match Analysis: Freddy Vidal vs Felipe Franco – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-10
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Apex

Game Overview

The matchup features undefeated light heavyweight prospects Freddy Vidal (3-0) and Felipe Franco (8-0) in a 3-round DWCS bout. Vidal boasts aggressive striking and knockout power with two first-round KO/TKOs, while Franco has a more experienced record combining KO and submissions, though he has shown ring rust from multiple fight postponements.

Key Factors to Consider

• Felipe Franco is 8-0 with a balanced mix of KO (50%) and submission (38%) finishes; Freddy Vidal is 3-0 with a high finishing rate primarily via KO and heavy hands as a striking specialist.
• No previous head-to-head matchups between Vidal and Franco; both remain undefeated professionally.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the contest.
• Franco has had multiple recent fight postponements potentially causing ring rust; Vidal is younger and recently turned pro less than a year ago with momentum, possibly giving him fresher timing and less tape for Franco to study.
• Both fighters aim to secure a contract through DWCS, but Vidal's recent streak and knockout style suggest high motivation to prove himself on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Freddy Vidal: +275, Felipe Franco: -325	Freddy Vidal	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Freddy Vidal -1.5: +400, Felipe Franco +1.5: -500	Felipe Franco +1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5: +195, Under 1.5: -235	Under 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Felipe Franco 118%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Felipe Franco at 118% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Freddy Vidal to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Freddy Vidal wins by KO/TKO in Round 2