Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 8:45 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
• No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
• No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
• Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -238, away: +195	Zachary Reese	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	home: -230, away: +165	Zachary Reese -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: +124, under: -160	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zachary Reese -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, USA

Game Overview

A crucial match between Sedriques Dumas and Michal Oleksiejczuk in the UFC middleweight division. Dumas is coming off a unanimous decision victory, while Oleksiejczuk seeks to break a losing streak with the support of The Fighting Nerds. The bout could be a turning point in both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dumas has a recent win but tends to be cautious after a knockout loss, relying heavily on control and wrestling. Oleksiejczuk is known for aggressive, early-round finishes and has faced high-level opponents.
• There is no head-to-head data between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Oleksiejczuk's partnership with The Fighting Nerds might provide a psychological boost.
• High stakes for both fighters, with Oleksiejczuk particularly motivated given his recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk: -185, Sedriques Dumas: +160	Michal Oleksiejczuk to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Michal Oleksiejczuk is favored to win, likely by KO/TKO.

Predicted Score: Decision or KO/TKO in favor of Michal Oleksiejczuk.