Match Analysis: Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 9:50 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This middleweight UFC prelim fight features Donte Johnson, an aggressive fast starter with a high early KO potential, facing Sedriques Dumas, a measured fighter skilled in range control and clinch tactics focused on winning by decision.

Key Factors to Consider

• Donte Johnson excels in early rounds with a 34% KO rate mostly in the first 3-4 minutes, showing aggressive pressure. Sedriques Dumas has strength in controlling pace with jab, clinch, and wrestling to steal rounds and secure decisions.
• No direct head-to-head fights available; strategies contrast aggressively: Johnson seeks early finishes, while Dumas aims to slow pace into later rounds.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear fully healthy and prepared.
• Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue; no travel or environmental disadvantages noted for either athlete.
• Johnson appears motivated to prove knockout power on prelims stage, while Dumas aims to demonstrate tactical superiority and grinding control to build decision wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Donte Johnson: -355, Sedriques Dumas: 280	Donte Johnson	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Donte Johnson -3.5: -320, Sedriques Dumas +3.5: 225	Donte Johnson -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Donte Johnson -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson to win by KO/TKO in early rounds

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by KO/TKO in Round 1

Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 8:45 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
• No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
• No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
• Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -238, away: +195	Zachary Reese	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	home: -230, away: +165	Zachary Reese -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: +124, under: -160	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Zachary Reese -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, USA

Game Overview

A crucial match between Sedriques Dumas and Michal Oleksiejczuk in the UFC middleweight division. Dumas is coming off a unanimous decision victory, while Oleksiejczuk seeks to break a losing streak with the support of The Fighting Nerds. The bout could be a turning point in both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dumas has a recent win but tends to be cautious after a knockout loss, relying heavily on control and wrestling. Oleksiejczuk is known for aggressive, early-round finishes and has faced high-level opponents.
• There is no head-to-head data between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Oleksiejczuk's partnership with The Fighting Nerds might provide a psychological boost.
• High stakes for both fighters, with Oleksiejczuk particularly motivated given his recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk: -185, Sedriques Dumas: +160	Michal Oleksiejczuk to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Michal Oleksiejczuk is favored to win, likely by KO/TKO.

Predicted Score: Decision or KO/TKO in favor of Michal Oleksiejczuk.