Match Analysis: Sebastien Di Franco vs Mark Ewen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Europe Week 3 Event, Nantes, France

Game Overview

Sebastien Di Franco faces Mark Ewen in the PFL Europe 3 MMA bout. Mark Ewen enters as the strong favorite with moneyline odds around -310 to -345, indicating his superior recent form and experience. Sebastien Di Franco is the underdog at +230 to +240 odds but remains a dangerous competitor. The fight is expected to be competitive but with Ewen favored due to consistency and fight style advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mark Ewen has shown solid recent form with consistent victories in the PFL circuit, while Sebastien Di Franco has had mixed results recently, affecting confidence and momentum.
• No recorded previous head-to-head matchups between the fighters, so styles and recent performances weigh more heavily.
• No current injury reports affecting either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full strength.
• Event on home soil for PFL Europe, with both fighters accustomed to competing internationally; Mark Ewen's experience fighting in larger promotions likely psychologically advantageous.
• Mark Ewen has strong motivation to solidify his standing in PFL rankings due to his winning streak; Di Franco is motivated to upset the favorite but lacks recent signature wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mark Ewen: -310, Sebastien Di Franco: +240	Mark Ewen	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Mark Ewen -1.5 rounds: -140, Sebastien Di Franco +1.5 rounds: +110	Mark Ewen -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mark Ewen 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark Ewen at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark Ewen to win via decision

Predicted Score: Mark Ewen wins by decision (3-0 rounds)

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Sebastien Di Franco vs. Mark Ewen Prediction	Mark Ewen Win	-310	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Darragh Kelly vs. Bakhtiyar Abdulaev Prediction	Darragh Kelly Win	-650	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Connor Hughes vs. Gino van Steenis Prediction	Connor Hughes Win	-290	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +105

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.05

Match Analysis: Connor Hughes vs Sebastien Di Franco – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 10, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast

Game Overview

Connor Hughes faces Sebastien Di Franco in the PFL Europe Lightweight Tournament. Hughes, a seasoned English fighter, is favored to win against the Belgian newcomer Di Franco.

Key Factors to Consider

• Connor Hughes has a strong record with one-punch knockout power, while Sebastien Di Franco debuts in the PFL with a solid background from Belgium and France.
• No previous head-to-head matches between the fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The tournament setup and the fighters' adaptation to the PFL format may influence performance.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Connor Hughes: -430, Sebastien Di Franco: 300	Connor Hughes	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Connor Hughes -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Connor Hughes at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Connor Hughes is likely to win due to his experience and knockout power.

Predicted Score: Connor Hughes by TKO/KO