Match Analysis: Sebastian Decowski vs Przemyslaw Gorny – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Podpromie Hall, RzeszΓ³w, Poland
Game Overview
Sebastian Decowski (5-0 unbeaten) faces Przemyslaw Gorny (6-4) in a KSW 110 bout, with Decowski favored on the moneyline. Both fighters have strong KO records; Decowski shows a perfect win record with high finishing rate, while Gorny has more professional experience but more losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Decowski is undefeated (5-0), with 4 KOs and 1 submission, demonstrating high finishing ability and consistent wins. Gorny holds a 6-4 record, also with 5 KOs, indicating power but less consistency.
- No prior head-to-head matchup between Decowski and Gorny found, so no direct comparative history exists.
- No reported injuries for either fighter going into the fight.
- Fight is held in Poland, potentially giving Gorny a slight home crowd advantage as he is Polish. However, Decowski's undefeated status may mitigate this factor.
- Decowski aims to maintain perfect record and prove dominance as a rising prospect, while Gorny looks to regain momentum after losses and capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -200 for Decowski, +150 for Gorny | Sebastian Decowski | β β β β β 76% |
Spread | -1.5 round Decowski at -120 | Decowski to win by more than 1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sebastian Decowski to win via KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Decowski wins by KO/TKO in round 2