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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-18
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox (38-37, 4th in AL East) and Seattle Mariners (37-35, 2nd in AL West) face off in a pivotal midweek matinee. The series is tied after Seattle's 8-0 win on Tuesday, snapping Boston's six-game winning streak. Both teams feature strong starting pitching: Garrett Crochet (6-4, 2.24 ERA, 117 Ks) for Boston, Luis Castillo (4-4, 3.29 ERA) for Seattle. Seattle's offense is hot, while Boston's bats have struggled recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston's pitching is anchored by Crochet, who ranks 8th in ERA and 2nd in strikeouts, but the offense is struggling (2.4 runs per game last 7 games). Seattle's offense is surging—8th in wOBA and 4th in BB% last week—and has momentum after a dominant win.
  • Castillo has a strong history against Boston—holding them to a .129/.182/.323 slash line over 31 at-bats. Crochet has a decent record against Seattle's hitters (.234/.345/.426 over 47 at-bats), but Seattle's recent form is superior.
  • Boston is without Alex Bregman and recently lost Rafael Devers. Seattle's lineup is healthier and more potent right now.
  • T-Mobile Park is pitcher-friendly, and weather is not expected to play a major role for this matchup. Seattle has strong home support (20-18 SU at home).
  • Both teams are looking to secure a series win and build momentum before the All-Star break. Seattle is 4-1 SU in their last five games and is motivated to extend their home success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: -120, Seattle Mariners: 102 Seattle Mariners (lean) ★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread Boston Red Sox: 1.5 (152), Seattle Mariners: +1.5 (-184) Seattle +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 6.5 (-120), Under 6.5 (-102) Under 6.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle has the edge in offensive momentum and home-field advantage, while Boston's offense is in a slump. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with Seattle having a slight probability advantage to win.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 3, Boston Red Sox 2


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – June 16, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Oakland Athletics vs. Houston Astros Prediction Houston Astros Win -162 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -188 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Murray St Racers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction Arkansas Razorbacks -3.5 -135 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +331

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $86.26

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Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-13
  • Time: 2:11 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners host the Cleveland Guardians to open a three-game series. Both teams are closely matched in standings (Mariners 33-34, Guardians 35-32), with each sitting third in their respective divisions. The Mariners have some strong recent performances from hitters like Mitch Garver and Samad Taylor, while the Guardians have relied on Bo Naylor and Lane Thomas. Both teams have experienced fluctuations in form, but this game is seen as a pivotal matchup for momentum heading into the midseason[1][3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are ranked third in their divisions with similar records. Seattle is 33-34 and Cleveland is 35-32. Recent performances show Mariners hitters are hot, with Mitch Garver (.412 AVG, 2 HR, 4 RBI) and Samad Taylor (.412 AVG, 1 HR, 7 RBI). For Cleveland, Bo Naylor is a standout (.263 AVG, 2 HR, 6 RBI) and Lane Thomas brings power (1 HR, 7 RBI, .250 AVG). The starting pitching matchup is expected to be tight[1][3][5].
  • This is the first of six regular season meetings; no recent head-to-head data is available for this season. Both teams are competitive and the matchup appears balanced on paper[1][5].
  • No major injury news reported for this matchup. Lineup cards suggest both teams are near full strength, barring any late changes[1].
  • Game is at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, which favors pitchers slightly. Weather is normal for June in Seattle, no impact expected. Mariners are at home, which may give them a slight edge in morale and crowd support[3][5].
  • Both teams are fighting for a wild card spot or to move up in their divisions. The Mariners are motivated to defend their home field, while the Guardians aim to improve their road record[1][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians: -102, Seattle Mariners: -116 Seattle Mariners Moneyline ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Cleveland Guardians: -1.5 180, Seattle Mariners: 1.5 -220 Seattle Mariners +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 7 -122, Under: 7 100 Under 7 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This matchup is extremely close. The Mariners have a slight edge in recent hitter performance and home-field advantage. Expect a low-scoring, tightly contested game, with the Mariners favored to win by a small margin. However, the market is nearly split, so the margin for error is slim.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4, Cleveland Guardians 3


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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-11
  • Time: 7:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix

Game Overview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are hosting the Seattle Mariners in an MLB matchup on June 11, 2025. Both teams have a nearly even record, with the Diamondbacks at 33-34 and the Mariners at 33-33. The weather is expected to be warm with no rain.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have been performing similarly this season, with the Diamondbacks slightly struggling at home. The Mariners have a strong record as underdogs.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not available, but both teams are evenly matched based on their current season performance.
  • Specific injury reports are not detailed in available data, but both teams could be dealing with minor injuries affecting their lineup.
  • Weather conditions are favorable for a high-scoring game with warm temperatures.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, given their close standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks: -106, Seattle Mariners: -110 Diamondbacks to win ★★★☆☆ 51%
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.5 -166, Seattle Mariners: -1.5 138 Mariners to cover ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 9 -105, Under: 9 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Diamondbacks are favored slightly, but the Mariners have a strong record as underdogs, making this a close matchup.

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5, Seattle Mariners 4


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Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners host the Minnesota Twins in a tightly contested MLB matchup. The previous game on May 30 saw the Twins defeat the Mariners 12-6, indicating strong offensive potential from Minnesota. Both teams have key players with impressive recent performances. The game is expected to be competitive with balanced odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Twins have shown powerful batting in recent games, scoring 12 runs in the last match against the Mariners. Key players like Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner have delivered notable performances. The Mariners have also exhibited offensive capability with players like Mitch Garver and Samad Taylor contributing significant RBIs. Both teams have had mixed defensive performances, which suggests an offensively inclined game.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Twins, who won the previous day's game convincingly. Historically, the teams have been competitive with neither holding a dominant long-term advantage. The current season's series is balanced but slightly edges towards the Twins given recent results.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available for either team that would significantly impact the game dynamics.
  • The game is played at the Mariners’ home stadium, T-Mobile Park, which can provide home-field advantage but has historically favored hitters and pitchers variably. Weather conditions and other environmental factors do not appear to be significant concerns.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain a series edge. The Twins, having won the previous game, look to maintain momentum, while the Mariners are motivated to redeem themselves at home in front of a strong crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota Twins: -108, Seattle Mariners: -108 Minnesota Twins win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Minnesota Twins: -1.5 155, Seattle Mariners: +1.5 -188 Minnesota Twins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 7.5: +100, Under 7.5: -122 Over 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota Twins 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Twins’ recent strong offensive display and the balanced odds, the prediction leans towards a Minnesota Twins victory but with a close scoreline. The over 7.5 runs total is also favored, anticipating active batting from both sides.

Predicted Score: Minnesota Twins 7, Seattle Mariners 5


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Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-29
  • Time: 1:40 AM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Game Overview

The Washington Nationals, coming off a dominant 9-0 victory over the Seattle Mariners on May 28, look to carry momentum into this matchup. The Mariners, playing at home, aim to rebound from a heavy defeat. Both teams have nearly identical betting lines, indicating a close contest with slight favoritism for the home side based on odds and form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Washington Nationals recently routed Seattle 9-0, showing strong offensive and pitching performance. Seattle has struggled offensively, especially at home, and will need to find their rhythm.
  • Washington demonstrated clear superiority in the immediate previous encounter. However, historical trends show that the Over has been common in recent Mariners home games (10-2 in last 12) and in Mariners vs. NL East teams (5-0 in last 5).
  • No major injury updates available for this game. Both teams are expected to be at full strength.
  • Mariners play at home and may benefit from fan support. However, Nationals will have confidence from the previous win. Weather and field conditions are normal.
  • Mariners are motivated to bounce back from a heavy loss, while Nationals aim to build a winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Seattle Mariners: -108, Washington Nationals: -108 Toss-up, but slight edge to Seattle due to home field and bounce-back potential. ★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread Seattle Mariners: 1.5, spread_odds: 155, Washington Nationals: -1.5 Seattle likely to cover +1.5 spread given the odds. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 7.5, over_odds: -105, under: 7.5, under_odds: -115 Under 7.5 runs, considering the Nationals' ability to shut out Mariners and low scoring trend in recent meetings. ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Nationals' strong recent outing and the Mariners' home struggles, Washington is likely to be motivated but Seattle will push hard at home. Given the tight odds, the game is expected to be close. The total is likely to be on the lower side despite recent Over trends, considering the Nationals' ability to keep Seattle scoreless in the previous game.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 3 – Washington Nationals 4


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Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-21
  • Time: 6:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Guaranteed Rate Field

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners face the Chicago White Sox in a crucial MLB matchup. The Mariners are looking to bounce back from a tight 1-0 loss in the previous game, while the White Sox aim to build on their recent win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle Mariners currently have a better record (27-20) compared to the White Sox (15-34). However, the White Sox have shown resilience in recent games.
  • Little recent head-to-head data is available for this specific matchup, but the Mariners' overall performance suggests they might have an edge.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for either team.
  • The game is at Guaranteed Rate Field, which might favor the White Sox due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Mariners seeking to secure a win before heading to a division series and the White Sox looking to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago White Sox: 130, Seattle Mariners: -154 Seattle Mariners ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Chicago White Sox: 1.5 -128, Seattle Mariners: -1.5 106 Seattle Mariners ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 8.5 104, Under: 8.5 -128 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Seattle Mariners at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners are favored to win due to their superior season record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4, Chicago White Sox 3


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Seattle Mariners -176 51%
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Oakland Athletics -156 44%
South Florida Bulls vs. East Carolina Pirates Prediction South Florida Bulls 114 24%

Combined Odds: +451 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $110.14

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – May 19, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Cincinnati Reds Win -126 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers Win -141 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -198 ★★★★☆ 73% (73%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +361

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $92.28

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