The Seattle Mariners host the St. Louis Cardinals in a crucial late-season MLB matchup. The Mariners currently hold a 77-68 record with strong home performance and are slight favorites, while the Cardinals (72-74) aim to spoil the Mariners' momentum in this pivotal series finale.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mariners enter on a 4-game winning streak, winning the first two games of this series. Seattle boasts a strong home record (43-27) and has recently favored games going over total runs. The Cardinals have struggled on the road compared to home, with an overall middling season record.
The Mariners currently lead this series 2-0, having defeated the Cardinals 5-3 most recently. Historically, the teams have split fairly evenly but the Mariners' recent dominance and home advantage tilt the H2H edge slightly in their favor.
No major injuries reported impacting either team significantly for this matchup. Both teams appear near full strength.
T-Mobile Park's pitcher-friendly conditions and Mariners' bullpen depth serve as advantages. Weather conditions appear stable, minimizing external disruption.
Mariners have motivation to solidify playoff positioning in the AL West and continue winning streak, while Cardinals face elimination pressure trying to improve standings, likely increasing their effort but hampered by inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-225 (Seattle), +188 (St. Louis)
Seattle Mariners
β β β β β 78%
Spread
-104 (Seattle -1.5), -115 (St. Louis +1.5)
Seattle Mariners -1.5
β β β β β 71%
Over/under
-102 (Over 7.5), -120 (Under 7.5)
Over 7.5 runs
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 7.5 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run line; game to go over 7.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 3 St. Louis Cardinals
The Atlanta Braves host the Seattle Mariners in a late-season MLB contest. The Braves (64-78) are out of playoff contention but tough at home, while the Mariners (74-68) are pushing for a postseason spot. Both teams feature contrasting pitching and offensive stats, with the Mariners showing stronger recent form and power hitting.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mariners entered with a solid 74-68 record and recent strong offensive performances, including a 10-2 win over the Braves the previous day. The Braves at 64-78 are struggling overall but perform well at home against AL West teams, covering the run line in 7 of their last 8 games.
In recent encounters, the Mariners have had the upper hand, winning a key matchup the day before with a potent offensive display. Starting pitchers have contrasting matchup history: Luis Castillo is 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA in five starts vs the Braves; Spencer Strider has no prior starts against the Mariners.
No significant injuries reported affecting key starting pitchers or core offensive players for either team, keeping the primary lineups intact.
Game played in Atlanta with Braves having home advantage. Weather and field conditions expected to be standard, exerting no unusual influence on play.
Mariners are highly motivated fighting for playoff positioning, while Braves have no postseason hopes but desire to build momentum and disrupt the Mariners' run.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -124, Seattle Mariners +106
Seattle Mariners
β β β ββ 69%
Spread
Atlanta Braves -1.5 +146, Seattle Mariners +1.5 -178
Seattle Mariners +1.5
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
Over 9 -106, Under 9 -114
Over 9 runs
β β β ββ 63%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 4 Atlanta Braves
A key MLB matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays that has playoff implications. Seattle leads the series overall and comes in with a better run average, but Tampa Bay is riding strong recent form at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Tampa Bay Rays have won 8 of their last 10 games, averaging 6 runs scored and 2.8 runs allowed during this stretch. Seattle Mariners have a solid overall record but lost the last meeting 6-5 to the Rays.
Seattle Mariners hold a historical advantage with 42 wins against Tampa Bay's 27, including 19 road wins. The Rays won the last game 6-5, showing competitive balance recently.
No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
Game played on artificial turf at Steinbrenner Field, a hitter-friendly park, favoring offense. Both starters have shown mixed results against each other historically.
Both teams are motivated to solidify playoff positioning late in the season. Rays aim to capitalize on home advantage and recent form to extend winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners -138, Tampa Bay Rays +118
Seattle Mariners
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Seattle Mariners -1.5 +118, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -142
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 8 -132, Under 8 +108
Over 8 runs
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners moneyline win, Tampa Bay Rays to cover +1.5 run spread, game total goes over 8 runs
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5 – 4 Tampa Bay Rays