Match Analysis: Ednilson Santos vs Scottie Stockman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) Event, Venue not explicitly specified
Game Overview
This lightweight bout features Ednilson Santos (13-7-1) facing Scottie Stockman (12-6-0) at LFA 222. Santos has a slightly better record overall, with a history of finishing fights by KO/TKO and decisions. Stockman is known for heavy striking power with a high KO/TKO rate but lacks notable grappling skills. Both fighters bring aggressive styles, Santos with more submissions and diverse finishes, Stockman with overwhelming knockout power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ednilson Santos has 13 wins with a balanced finish distribution: 5 KOs, 1 submission, 5 decisions. Scottie Stockman has 12 wins but more KO/TKO finishes (10) and fewer decisions (1), indicating a more aggressive knockout-oriented style. Santos has shown better grappling with submissions compared to Stockman, who struggles with ground game.
- No direct prior meeting record is documented, making this a first-time matchup between Santos and Stockman.
- No reported injuries or weight issues for either fighter ahead of the bout; both are fighting at lightweight 155 lbs.
- This event is part of LFA 222, held likely in the United States with broadcast on UFC Fight Pass, offering good exposure. No travel or environmental concerns have been noted.
- Both fighters are experienced competitors likely motivated to move up the ranks in LFA, with Stockman seeking to compensate for his grappling gap and Santos aiming to leverage his well-rounded skillset to break into higher-level organizations.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ednilson Santos: -170, Scottie Stockman: 130 | Ednilson Santos | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Ednilson Santos -1.5 rounds: -110, Scottie Stockman +1.5 rounds: -110 | Ednilson Santos -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ednilson Santos 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ednilson Santos at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ednilson Santos by submission or decision is slightly favored due to grappling advantage and more balanced finishing ability, but Stockman's knockout power makes it a competitive fight. Prediction confidence is moderate given both have risks in their styles.
Predicted Score: Ednilson Santos wins via submission or decision in 3 rounds