Match Analysis: Savannah Marshall vs Shadasia Green – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-11
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, US
Game Overview
This is a high-stakes super-middleweight unification bout between IBF champion Savannah Marshall and WBO titlist Shadasia Green, taking place on the undercard of Katie Taylor vs. Amanda Serrano III. Marshall returns after a lengthy hiatus and aims to reassert her dominance at 168lbs, while Green has been more active and enters with a strong knockout ratio and momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Savannah Marshall (13-1, 10 KOs) has fought less frequently (last fight: 2 years ago) but has experience at the highest level. Shadasia Green (15-1, 11 KOs) has been more active, fighting every 5-6 months, with her bouts averaging nearly 9 rounds, suggesting durability and stamina. Marshall's fights average about 5.6 rounds, potentially indicating earlier stoppages or less recent activity.
- No previous meetings between Marshall and Green.
- No major injuries reported for either fighter.
- The fight will be broadcast globally on Netflix, potentially increasing pressure. Both are newly signed to MVP, adding promotional interest. Marshall is fighting after a long layoff, which could influence her sharpness.
- Both fighters are motivated: Marshall aims to reclaim her place atop the division after her layoff, while Green seeks to unify and establish herself as the best 168lb fighter.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Savannah Marshall -650, Shadasia Green +450 | Savannah Marshall | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Savannah Marshall -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Savannah Marshall at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Savannah Marshall is the favorite due to her proven championship pedigree and technical skill, despite her recent inactivity. Shadasia Green’s activity and knockout power present a credible threat, but Marshall’s experience and skill edge are expected to prevail, possibly by decision due to Green’s proven durability.
Predicted Score: Savannah Marshall via unanimous decision (UD) after 10 rounds