Match Analysis: Krystian Blezien vs Sasha Moisa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW Event Venue (Exact location not specified)
Game Overview
A welterweight MMA bout between Krystian Blezien and Sasha Moisa in the KSW organization, both fighters with competitive recent records and similar betting lines reflecting a well-matched fight.
Key Factors to Consider
- Krystian Blezien has shown solid form with recent wins by TKO and unanimous decision but also a loss by decision within the last year. Sasha Moisa similarly maintains an undefeated recent streak with wins including TKO and unanimous decisions, indicating slightly better momentum.
- No direct head-to-head historical encounters appear to exist between Blezien and Moisa, making fight style analysis based on recent opponents and performance crucial.
- No reported injuries for either fighter close to the bout date, suggesting both enter at full fitness.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue with no apparent home advantage; motivation appears high for both as this could be a pivotal bout in their careers within KSW.
- Moisa's recent strong win streak and slightly younger age may indicate higher motivation to maintain momentum, while Blezien aims to avenge past loss and stay competitive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Moisa -110, Blezien -120 | Moisa | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Moisa -1.5 (+135), Blezien +1.5 (-160) | Blezien +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-200), Under 2.5 rounds (+154) | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sasha Moisa by Decision
Predicted Score: Fight goes the distance with Moisa winning a clear but competitive unanimous decision