Magomed Magomedov vs. Sarvarjon Hamidov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Magomed Magomedov vs Sarvarjon Hamidov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Wichita, Kansas, USA

Game Overview

Magomed Magomedov (24-4) faces unbeaten Sarvarjon Khamidov (16-0) in the PFL Bantamweight World Tournament. This is a high-stakes bout between a proven elite Russian wrestler and an undefeated rising Tajik star. Both aim to make a statement in the postseason, with Magomedov bringing experience and Khamidov bringing momentum and youth[2][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomed Magomedov is a former ACB champion with a strong record and experience against elite competition. Sarvarjon Khamidov is undefeated, showing a versatile skill set with wins by decision, submission, and knockout but has faced less experienced opposition[2][5].
  • No prior head-to-head history between these two. This will be their first meeting[5].
  • No reported injuries for either fighter in the lead-up to this bout.
  • The fight is part of the PFL World Tournament, raising the stakes. Both fighters are entering in good health, and no major external factors such as venue altitude or crowd are expected to play a significant role[2].
  • Both fighters are highly motivated—Magomedov seeks redemption and a title, while Khamidov aims to extend his undefeated streak and make a name on the world stage[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Magomed Magomedov: -102, Sarvarjon Hamidov: -125 Sarvarjon Hamidov by split decision or late stoppage Low-Medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sarvarjon Hamidov -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sarvarjon Hamidov at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a highly competitive matchup. Magomedov's experience against top-level opposition gives him a slight edge in craft, but Khamidov's youth, momentum, and undefeated record make him dangerous. The odds slightly favor Khamidov, likely reflecting his recent form. This could go either way, but current betting markets hint at Khamidov by a razor-thin margin[3][4].

Predicted Score: Sarvarjon Khamidov def. Magomed Magomedov by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)


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