Match Analysis: Sabrinna de Sousa vs Saray Orozco – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-15
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament Finals, Charlotte

Game Overview

The Women’s Flyweight final at the PFL World Tournament Finals features Sabrinna de Sousa (24 years old) against Saray Orozco (34 years old). De Sousa is undefeated (3-0) with a strong finishing rate, mostly by KO/TKO, while Orozco brings more experience but with a record of 8-7. This bout is expected to showcase De Sousa's power and youth against Orozco's experience and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

• De Sousa is on a winning streak with 3 straight wins, 2 by KO/TKO and 1 submission, showing decisive finishes. Orozco has more fights (15 total) but a mixed recent performance with 7 losses and only 1 KO win recently, relying more on decisions.
• This appears to be their first recorded matchup with no prior direct fights, so no head-to-head data influences this bout.
• No current injury reports or issues affecting either fighter leading up to the match.
• The fight is taking place on a major stage, the PFL World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, which should motivate both fighters equally. No travel or performance-affecting external factors reported.
• De Sousa fights with the confidence of an undefeated rising star hungry to claim the title, while Orozco motivated by experience and redemption, aiming to leverage her veteran savvy.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	De Sousa -1100, Orozco +575	De Sousa	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	De Sousa -1.5	De Sousa -1.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Under 2.5 rounds -150, Over 2.5 rounds +130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sabrinna de Sousa -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sabrinna de Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sabrinna de Sousa to win. Spread: De Sousa to win by a finish (inside distance). Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Sabrinna de Sousa wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Ilara Joanne vs Saray Orozco – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Friday, June 20, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

The Women's Flyweight semifinal match between Ilara Joanne and Saray Orozco is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Ilara Joanne, from Brazil, faces Saray Orozco from Mexico. Joanne holds a record of 12-10, while Orozco has a record of 8-6. The match is significant as it determines which fighter advances to the finals.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ilara Joanne has a more extensive fight history, which might give her an edge in experience. However, recent performances and training could influence the outcome.
• No prior head-to-head data is available, so this factor is neutral.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Venue and crowd support may have minimal impact as both fighters are experienced.
• Both fighters are motivated to win and advance to the finals, but their preparation and strategy will be key.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ilara Joanne: -165, Saray Orozco: 135	Ilara Joanne	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ilara Joanne -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ilara Joanne at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ilara Joanne is favored to win due to her experience, but Saray Orozco's determination and recent form could make for a competitive match.

Predicted Score: Ilara Joanne via decision