Match Analysis: Quang Le vs Santiago Luna – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 10:45 PM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas, USA
Game Overview
In this UFC Bantamweight matchup, Santiago Luna makes his UFC debut at 6-0 MMA record with a 100% finish rate, while Quang Le, with a 9-2 record and 1-2 in UFC fights, looks to rebound after an inconsistent UFC start.
Key Factors to Consider
- Luna has won all 6 pro MMA fights by finish, demonstrating strong finishing ability (2 KOs, 4 submissions). Le has solid striking but lower accuracy and defense, offset by high takedown defense (100%) and solid grappling.
- No previous head-to-head encounters between Luna and Le.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fight takes place at Frost Bank Center in Luna's UFC debut; Luna may have added motivation to impress. Le may face pressure to stabilize UFC performance record.
- Luna is highly motivated to make a statement in his UFC debut with flawless finishing record; Le aims to improve UFC standing after early setbacks.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Quang Le: +114, Santiago Luna: -135 | Santiago Luna | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Quang Le +3.5: -155, Santiago Luna -3.5: +115 | Santiago Luna -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santiago Luna -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santiago Luna to win by finish
Predicted Score: Santiago Luna wins by submission or KO in Round 2