Match Analysis: San Jose State Spartans vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-29
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, California
Game Overview
The San Jose State Spartans, favored by 11.5 points, host the Central Michigan Chippewas in a Week 1 NCAA football matchup. San Jose State finished 7-6 last season with a stronger offense and defense relative to Central Michigan, which ended 4-8.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Jose State averaged 28.4 points per game in 2024, ranking 63rd nationally, while they allowed 27.5 points per game. Central Michigan averaged 22.6 points per game and allowed 29.7, finishing significantly weaker both offensively and defensively.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but San Jose State has the statistical edge based on last season’s performance and home advantage.
- No major injuries reported for either team leading into this game, both squads appear healthy.
- Game played at San Jose State's home stadium, with mild weather conditions (approx. 79°F, no rain) favoring a normal game flow. The Spartans also have 100% public betting support, indicating strong market confidence.
- As season openers, San Jose State seeks to validate pre-season expectations at home while Central Michigan aims to overcome underdog status and prove skeptics wrong.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -465, away: +350 | San Jose State | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | San Jose State -11.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: +102, under: -124 | Under 51.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Jose State Spartans -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on San Jose State moneyline and spread (-11.5) and the under on total points.
Predicted Score: San Jose State 31 – Central Michigan 17