The New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants in the final game of their three-game series. The Mets come in with a strong record of 63-48 and have the home field advantage, while the Giants are 55-56 and struggling with recent form and pitching depth.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have been consistent at home with a good record and improved bullpen after the trade deadline. The Giants have a 3.70 team ERA but are underperforming with a 55-56 record and have lost seven of their last eight games, showing declining momentum.
The Mets have won three of Montas’ last four starts. The Giants lost the earlier games in this series and have been dominated by the Mets recently. The Mets have had the edge at Citi Field.
The Giants are starting Carson Whisenhunt, with only 5 innings pitched this season and a high ERA of 7.20, making their pitching uncertain. Mets’ Montas has a higher ERA overall but has better home splits and form.
Playing at Citi Field benefits the Mets, who have a strong home record. Giants’ bullpen is depleted due to trade deadline moves, contrasting with the Mets’ strengthened relief pitching.
The Mets are motivated to consolidate their strong standing in the NL and capitalize on weaker teams at home. Giants are struggling and may lack confidence coming into this game.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Mets -162, San Francisco Giants +136
New York Mets
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
New York Mets -1.5 +122, San Francisco Giants +1.5 -146
New York Mets -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on New York Mets moneyline to win; Mets -1.5 run line; bet on over 8.5 total runs
The San Francisco Giants face the Pittsburgh Pirates in the third game of their series at Oracle Park. The Giants, with a .500 season record, struggle with recent form as they are 2-10 in their last 12 games while the Pirates lead the series 2-0. Both teams are mid-to-lower tier in standings, but the Giants have home advantage and a solid starting pitcher in Logan Webb.
Key Factors to Consider
Giants have a 54-54 record with recent poor form (2-10 in last 12); Pirates 45-62 but on a winning streak with two victories over Giants this series.
Teams are historically even with 63 wins each; Giants hold a strong home record against Pirates with 45 wins; Pirates have recent series lead 2-0; average runs/game: Giants 4.09, Pirates slightly higher at 4.55.
No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups or pitching rotations for either side.
Game played at Oracle Park with typical pitcher-friendly conditions; day game impact slightly favors Giants as Pirates have 19-26 record in day games.
Giants motivated to stop losing streak at home; Pirates fueled by series lead seeking sweep and to extend momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Giants -210, Pirates +176
San Francisco Giants
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Giants -1.5 at +100, Pirates +1.5 at -120
San Francisco Giants -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 7.5 at +100, Under 7.5 at -122
Under 7.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants win on the moneyline; Giants cover the -1.5 run spread; total runs under 7.5
Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 4 – 2 Pittsburgh Pirates
The New York Mets visit the San Francisco Giants for the second game of their three-game series with Mets favored on moneyline and run line. Both teams have had competitive recent play, with Mets slightly ahead in the season record. The matchup features Mets ace Kodai Senga against Giants starter Matt Gage.
Key Factors to Consider
Mets hold a 61-44 record this season with strong recent form, especially in pitching. Giants are 54-51 and have struggled recently as underdogs (2-5 ATS), with a high ERA and inconsistent offense. Mets have better recent consistency and better run differential.
Mets are slightly favored historically and in current series, with odds commonly placing Mets as slight favorites. The overall parity suggests close games but slight Mets edge.
No significant injuries reported for key starters or top hitters on either side. Mets’ lineup is largely intact, increasing confidence in their offensive production.
Game held at Oracle Park, a pitcher-friendly but decent offensive park. Weather conditions stable, no adverse effects expected. Mets starting Kodai Senga has strong ERA (1.79) this season, Giants' Matt Gage is untested at MLB level with no MLB decisions yet.
Mets are pushing for playoff positioning with a strong record; Giants are more middle-tier and may lack same urgency, giving Mets a motivational edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mets: -142, Giants: +120
Mets
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Mets -1.5: 118, Giants +1.5: -142
Mets -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8: -115, Under 8: -105
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Mets win; Spread: Mets -1.5; Over/Under: Over 8 runs
The Atlanta Braves host the San Francisco Giants in a mid-summer MLB matchup. Braves are the slight favorites according to moneyline odds with strong pitching on the mound. The contest features a moderate run total line of 8.5.
Key Factors to Consider
The Braves have been moderately successful as favorites this season, winning 38 of 73 as favorites and holding a 16-11 record when favored at -172 or shorter moneyline odds. The Giants have hovered near .500 with recent struggles against strong opponents but still present a competitive lineup.
Recent head-to-head encounters favor the Braves slightly, with projections indicating a 58-64% win probability for Atlanta. Starting pitcher matchups lean in Atlanta's favor, with Spencer Strider showing better metrics than Giants' Justin Verlander.
No significant injuries reported for either lineup or starting pitchers, preserving full-strength rotations and batting orders.
Game played at Truist Park provides home-field advantage for Braves. Weather not a reported factor. Broadcast on MLB Network ensures standard game conditions.
Both teams motivated to gain wins approaching trade deadline, but Braves exhibit stronger urgency based on standings and betting market positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -172, San Francisco Giants +144
Atlanta Braves
seventy-two percent
Spread
Braves -1.5 +115, Giants +1.5 -138
Atlanta Braves -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 64%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
The San Francisco Giants visit the Toronto Blue Jays in a mid-July interleague series finale. Both teams are close to the playoff bubble, with motivation high for a series sweep. Vegas has the game priced as a virtual pick'em, reflecting tight pregame expectations.
Key Factors to Consider
The Blue Jays are favorites in most models, but only marginally—a reflection of Robbie Ray's excellent stats (2.65 ERA, 1.08 WHIP) for the Giants and Jose Berrios's solid but less dominant form (3.75 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) for Toronto[1]. San Francisco’s pitching advantage is somewhat offset by their weaker road record and bats that have underperformed. Toronto’s lineup has more depth and consistency, especially at home.
No recent notable H2H trends or blowouts found in this series, but Toronto's home-field edge has held up historically. With the opportunity for a sweep, expect added urgency for both teams, but especially for Toronto to close out the homestand on a high note.
No major injuries reported for either side’s key starters or lineup regulars.
Rogers Centre is known to play neutral to slightly hitter-friendly, but with two solid starting pitchers expected to go deep, conditions may favor a lower-scoring game. No significant weather disruptions expected.
Toronto is seeking a sweep and playoff momentum—expect extra energy at home. San Francisco, fighting for their own postseason spot, will not lack drive, but their road form is a concern.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Giants -108, Blue Jays -108
Toronto Blue Jays Win
★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread
Giants -1.5 146, Blue Jays 1.5 -178
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (Underdogs covering)
★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under
Over 8 -115, Under 8 -105
Under 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is a toss-up game—but I expect Toronto to edge it at home in a tight, low-scoring contest. Value is on the under and Blue Jays moneyline.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 3, San Francisco Giants 2