Match Analysis: Washington State Cougars vs San Diego State Aztecs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 2:15 AM UTC
- Location: Gesa Field at Martin Stadium
Game Overview
This NCAA football matchup features the Washington State Cougars hosting the San Diego State Aztecs. Both teams start the season 1-0, setting up a competitive contest at Washington State's home field. The Cougars are favored with narrow odds and spread advantage, likely reflecting home-field benefit and offensive strengths.
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington State has demonstrated a stronger offensive capability early this season as suggested by prediction models giving them a higher scoring expectation. San Diego State entered at +1.5 spread underdog but with competitive moneyline odds, indicating they are respected defensively and overall.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited in the search results, but the betting lines imply Washington State has had a slight edge in recent meetings or at least in public betting sentiment.
- No specific injury reports are detailed in the data provided, suggesting no major absences affecting key players for either side at this time.
- Playing at Gesa Field at Martin Stadium provides Washington State with home-field advantage. There is no indication of adverse weather or other external conditions impacting the game.
- Both teams entering 1-0 early in the new season are motivated to establish early dominance. Washington State may have additional motivation leveraging home advantage, while San Diego State looks to prove competitive in an away venue.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego State Aztecs: -105, Washington State Cougars: -115 | Washington State Cougars to win | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | San Diego State Aztecs +1.5: -115, Washington State Cougars -1.5: -105 | Washington State Cougars -1.5 to cover | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 45.5: -108, Under 45.5: -112 | Under 45.5 total points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington State Cougars 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 45.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington State Cougars are favored to win in a moderately close game. Analysis and available odds suggest they will cover the -1.5 spread and the under 45.5 total points is more likely than the over.
Predicted Score: Washington State Cougars 28 – San Diego State Aztecs 17