The San Diego Padres host the Kansas City Royals in an evenly matched MLB contest at PETCO Park. Both teams have similar records with the Padres slightly ahead at 40-35 compared to the Royals' 38-38. The matchup features pitchers R. Vasquez for the Royals and S. Lugo for the Padres, both with an ERA of 0.00 currently. The weather is favorable with 72°F temperature, no rain, and light wind, ideal for baseball action.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have struggled recently, going 1-4 in their last five games and have a 2-3 record against the spread in that span. They hold a 21-20 ATS record on the road but have seen only 14 of their last 34 home games go over the total. The Royals are near .500 with a 38-38 record and have been moderately successful as favorites this season, winning 15 of 31 games as favorites of at least -112 on the moneyline.
Historical head-to-head data is not explicitly provided, but both teams are closely matched in standings and recent performance, suggesting a competitive game.
No specific injury reports were found for key players from either team as of the latest data, implying full-strength lineups.
Weather conditions are ideal for the game, with no forecasted rain and comfortable temperature, minimizing external disruptions. The game is played at PETCO Park, giving Padres the home-field advantage.
Both teams hover around .500 records and are likely motivated to gain an edge in the standings. The Padres slightly lead in record and have home advantage, which may boost their confidence, while the Royals' resilience as underdogs could fuel their competitive spirit.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals: -112, San Diego Padres: -104
San Diego Padres to win
★★★☆☆ 54%
Spread
Kansas City Royals: -1.5 142, San Diego Padres: +1.5 -172
San Diego Padres +1.5 to cover
★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under
Over 8.5: 100, Under 8.5: -122
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The prediction favors a narrow win by the San Diego Padres, capitalizing on home-field advantage and a slightly better season record despite recent struggles. The game is expected to be close with a final score around 4-3, and the total runs are likely to go under the set 8.5.
The Milwaukee Brewers host the San Diego Padres in a pivotal matchup. The Brewers are enjoying a strong run, having won several recent series, while the Padres have historically performed well against them. The Brewers' strong batting, led by Christian Yelich, and their pitching, led by Freddy Peralta, will face off against the Padres' consistent team performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee Brewers are currently 35-30, with a home record of 19-11. They average 4.49 runs per game. The San Diego Padres have a strong head-to-head record against the Brewers, winning 7 out of their last 10 matches.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Diego Padres have won 7 times, while Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 times.
No significant injuries reported that could impact the game.
Home advantage could be a factor, as the Brewers have a strong home record.
Both teams are motivated, but the Brewers' recent winning streak adds extra pressure to maintain their form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers: -154, San Diego Padres: 130
Milwaukee Brewers
★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 +134, San Diego Padres: +1.5 -162
San Diego Padres +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 8 -112, Under: 8 -108
Over 8
★★☆☆☆ 48%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 -5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win based on their recent form and home advantage, but the Padres have a strong historical edge.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, San Diego Padres 4
The San Diego Padres host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Petco Park. The Padres have dominated their recent head-to-head meetings, currently riding a 9-game winning streak against the Pirates and have won all three 2025 matchups so far, most recently a 4-0 road win on May 4, 2025. Both teams have struggled with consistency, but the Padres have shown superior recent form specifically in this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have displayed strong pitching and timely hitting in recent games, especially against the Pirates, while the Pirates have been inconsistent offensively. The Padres have not allowed more than 2 runs to the Pirates in their last five encounters, and the largest Padres win over the Pirates by run-difference this season was a 9-4 victory on May 2, 2025.
All-time, the Padres hold a 243-274 win record (47% win rate) against the Pirates, but recent trends are overwhelmingly in San Diego's favor (9-game win streak, two of which are the largest streaks in history). They have won 10 out of the last 15 matchups across the last three seasons.
No significant recent injury news affecting either team’s key players for this matchup.
Home advantage for the Padres at Petco Park, which is considered pitcher-friendly and generally lower scoring. Weather forecast is favorable for baseball—no rain or extreme temperatures expected.
Padres are motivated to extend their historic win streak and build momentum, while the Pirates are looking to break the streak and stabilize their season.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres: -230, Pittsburgh Pirates: 190
San Diego Padres
High (80%)
Spread
Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-122), San Diego Padres: -1.5 (+102)
San Diego Padres -1.5
Moderate (60%)
Over/under
Over: 7.5 (-110), Under: 7.5 (-110)
Under 7.5
Moderate-High (65%)
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres are favored to win this matchup due to their recent head-to-head dominance, superior pitching, and home-field advantage. Confidence in a Padres win is high based on current form and streaks.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4, Pittsburgh Pirates 1