The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres in a pivotal NL West matchup with playoff implications. The Dodgers hold a narrow division lead and come off a strong 6–0 victory over the Padres in the previous game.
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers have shown consistent strength at home with 61 wins as favorites this season; Padres are competitive but typically the underdogs on the road with a 50% moneyline win rate when underdogs.
The Dodgers recently dominated the Padres 6–0, suggesting offensive and pitching advantages; the Dodgers also have a solid recent H2H edge at home.
No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups or key players for either side, indicating full-strength squads.
Game played at Dodgers’ home stadium favors Los Angeles; weather and other external influences negligible on the day.
Dodgers motivated to extend NL West lead and secure home-field advantage; Padres need a win to keep pace, adding pressure but potentially increasing risk-taking.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dodgers -156, Padres +132
Los Angeles Dodgers
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Dodgers -1.5 +134, Padres +1.5 -162
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win outright with a run line of -1.5 and total runs to go under 8.5.
The San Diego Padres visit the San Francisco Giants for the final game of their three-match series, with Padres favored on the moneyline and run line, and totals set around 8 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
Padres hold a stronger season record at 68-52 compared to Giants' 59-61. Padres won the previous game convincingly (5-1), showing recent form advantage. Pitching outlook favors Padres' Nick Pivetta (11-4, 2.94 ERA) over Giants' Kai-Wei Teng (1-1, 5.40 ERA).
Recent series favors Padres, including a 5-1 win in last meeting. No prior starts of Teng vs. Padres; Pivetta has decent career stats against Giants.
No major injury reports affecting starting lineups or key players from either team were noted in the sources.
Game held at Oracle Park, a pitcher-friendly park potentially suppressing offense. Starting pitchers' ERA and recent form suggest a lower-scoring game but Padres have potent offense.
Padres motivated to extend winning streak and build confidence ahead of a tough series against Dodgers; Giants seek to avoid series sweep at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -158, San Francisco Giants +134
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Padres -1.5 +108, Giants +1.5 -130
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8 -105, Under 8 -115
Under 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Padres to win straight up; Padres to cover -1.5 run spread; game to go under total runs
This is the rubber match of a tightly contested three-game MLB series between the San Diego Padres and Boston Red Sox at PETCO Park. Both teams hold similar season records (Padres 65-52, Red Sox 65-53) and have split the first two games 1-1, with the previous game decided in extra innings in favor of the Padres.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have a strong home record (37-20) and solid pitching staff with a team ERA of 3.63. Offensively, Manny Machado leads the team with a .297 batting average and 20 home runs. The Red Sox have been in strong recent form, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, showing resilience despite being underdogs.
The series is currently tied 1-1 with the Padres winning a tight 5-4 game in extra innings. The matchup features starting pitchers Dylan Cease (Padres) with a 4.60 ERA and Brayan Bello (Red Sox), suggesting a contest between quality arms.
No significant injury concerns reported for either team’s key starters or hitters ahead of this game.
Playing at PETCO Park gives the Padres a clear home-field advantage, supported by their strong home record. Weather conditions and park factors favor pitching and defense, correlating with the under 7.5 runs line.
Both teams are motivated to win the rubber match to take the series. Padres aim to maintain home dominance and momentum, while Red Sox look to upset and bounce back after the last extra innings loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox +120, San Diego Padres -142
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Boston Red Sox +1.5 -178, San Diego Padres -1.5 +146
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 7.5 -118, Under 7.5 -104
Under 7.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: San Diego Padres win; Spread: Padres -1.5; Over/Under: Under 7.5 runs
The San Diego Padres (63-51) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-60) with the Padres showing better recent form and superior pitching metrics, while Diamondbacks struggle overall but have home field advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres rank 3rd in pitching ERA (3.56) and WHIP (1.21) and average 4.12 runs per game, though their batting is middle tier. Diamondbacks have a losing record and inconsistent offense but are playing at home.
Recent matchups favor the Padres with a series win and a bounce back 10-5 extra-innings victory in the latest game.
No major injuries reported for either team; starting pitchers identified but Padres’ starter Nestor Cortes has struggled with a 9.00 ERA in two starts this year.
Game played at Chase Field, a hitter-friendly ballpark favoring offense. Weather and other conditions expected to be typical for Phoenix in August.
Padres are pushing for divisional positioning and coming off recent series wins, showing higher motivation compared to the struggling Diamondbacks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks: 129, San Diego Padres: -142
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -130, San Diego Padres -1.5: 110
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9.5: -105, Under 9.5: -115
Over 9.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres to win straight up, Padres -1.5 spread, Over 9.5 total runs
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 6 – Arizona Diamondbacks 4
The San Diego Padres host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League matchup. Both teams are mid-tier in the standings, with Padres at 61-50 and Cardinals at 56-56. Padres enter on strong recent form and home advantage, while Cardinals aim to recover after recent setbacks.
Key Factors to Consider
Padres have won 6 of their last 7 games and average 4.9 runs per game at home while allowing about 3.4 runs. Cardinals have a balanced record, but recent form is weaker. Starting pitchers are Dylan Cease (Padres, 3-10, 4.79 ERA) and Andre Pallante (Cardinals, 6-7, 4.62 ERA).
Though the Cardinals won their last meeting 8-5, Padres lead the overall series with 52 wins to Cardinals' 61, including 37 home wins. Offensive averages are close with Padres scoring slightly higher at home (4.09 vs. Cardinals 3.98 runs per game).
No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters or core lineup.
Game is at Padres’ home ballpark, PETCO Park, which favors Padres especially defensively in pitching-friendly conditions.
Padres are motivated to maintain strong position in playoff contention with recent momentum; Cardinals look to bounce back after mixed results and road challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -188, St. Louis Cardinals +158
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Padres -1.5 +106, Cardinals +1.5 -128
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8 -115, Under 8 -105
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres moneyline, Padres -1.5 spread, under 8 total runs
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 5, St. Louis Cardinals 3
The San Diego Padres host the New York Mets in the final game of the series, with the Mets favored to win based on form and pitching matchup. Mets starter Clay Holmes (9-5, 3.40 ERA) faces Padres starter Yu Darvish (0-3, 9.18 ERA), who has struggled significantly this season. The Mets hold a slight edge in standings but Padres are motivated to close the gap in the NL West.
Key Factors to Consider
Mets hold a 62-46 record and have won 66.7% of games as favorites, while Padres are 59-49 and have a suboptimal record (0-3) with Darvish starting. Mets have a stronger recent winning trend and better pitching metrics.
Recent series has seen Padres winning the first two games, but Mets still lead standings by a half-game in NL East. Overall, Mets have shown better consistency against Padres this season.
No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups or pitchers for either team, with starters expected to go the distance.
Game played at PETCO Park, which is pitcher-friendly but Padres' struggling starter may negate home advantage. Weather forecast mild upper-70s with no precipitation expected.
Padres aim to sweep and close the NL West gap, while Mets fight to maintain NL East lead. Both teams motivated, slight edge to the Mets for playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mets -118, Padres +100
New York Mets
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Mets -1.5 +138, Padres +1.5 -166
Mets -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110
Under 8.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: New York Mets win; Spread: Mets -1.5; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs