The San Diego Padres host the Baltimore Orioles in an MLB matchup where the Padres are favored at home. Both teams have shown mixed form, but the Padres hold a slight advantage given their home performance and recent head-to-head outcomes.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have a 76-63 record with a strong 60.6% winning rate as favorites this season. The Orioles hold a 63-76 record, winning only 41.7% of games as underdogs with odds similar to today’s (+138). The Padres have a solid ATS (against the spread) record of 75-62, while the Orioles are below .500 at 65-71 ATS.
Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Padres, who typically outperform the Orioles at PETCO Park. Baltimore has struggled to cover runs against San Diego’s pitching staff in prior meetings.
No significant reported injuries for either side impacting starting rotations or key offensive players for this specific game.
The game’s location at PETCO Park favors strong pitching and defense. Weather conditions expected to be typical for San Diego in September with no rain or extreme wind to influence gameplay.
Padres are motivated to secure wins down the stretch for playoff positioning, while Orioles are in a rebuilding phase with less playoff pressure, likely focusing on player development.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Padres -164, Orioles +138
San Diego Padres
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Padres -1.5 +125, Orioles +1.5 -150
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -102, Under 8.5 -120
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres moneyline win; Padres to cover -1.5 spread; total runs under 8.5
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4 – Baltimore Orioles 2
The Minnesota Twins (61-74) host the San Diego Padres (76-60) in a late season MLB matchup. Twins' Joe Ryan (12-7, 3.22 ERA) faces Padres' David Morgan (1-2, 2.95 ERA). Twins are favored on the moneyline and spread, with an over/under set at 8.5 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
Twins have struggled with pitching depth recently but maintain slightly better form than Padres, who have lost four straight games and exhibit weaker offensive consistency. Twins' offense is featuring hot hitter Byron Buxton this season.
Twins have success against NL West teams during day games, winning eight of their last nine following a loss. Padres have underperformed in recent matchups.
No key injury reports that significantly affect starting lineups; Twins rely on a solid rotation starter Joe Ryan, whereas Padres starter Morgan has limited impact historically with a small sample.
Home advantage for Twins at Target Field, familiar conditions and crowd support, and expected weather conditions neutral.
Twins, out of playoff contention, play to improve record and support young talent; Padres motivated to stay ahead in division race but under pressure following recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins -136, San Diego Padres +116
Minnesota Twins
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Minnesota Twins -1.5 +155, San Diego Padres +1.5 -188
San Diego Padres +1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -100, Under 8.5 -122
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
The Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres face off in the final game of their interleague series at T-Mobile Park, with both teams fighting for playoff positioning in tight division races.
Key Factors to Consider
San Diego Padres enter with a 75-58 record, averaging 4.22 runs/game overall and 4.04 on the road, but have allowed 4.21 runs/game away. Seattle Mariners hold a 71-62 record, stronger at home, and recent forms indicate Mariners have dominated Padres at home and in recent matchups.
Seattle Mariners won 12 of last 13 games against San Diego Padres overall and 6 of last 7 home games, with a strong +1.5 run line record in those contests demonstrating clear historical dominance.
No key injury updates significantly impacting starting lineups or pitching staffs are noted from the latest reports.
Playing at home provides Seattle an advantage. Weather and travel effects appear neutral with no reported adverse conditions.
Both teams remain highly motivated—Padres trailing Dodgers by 1 game in NL West and Mariners 1.5 games behind Astros in AL West—making this a crucial game to close playoff gaps.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mariners -136, Padres +116
Mariners
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Padres +1.5 (-176), Mariners -1.5 (146)
Padres +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115)
Over 8
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 4 San Diego Padres