The Seattle Mariners host the San Diego Padres in the final game of a 3-game MLB series. Mariners starter Justus Woo (11-7, 2.94 ERA) will face Padres ace Yu Darvish (3-3, 5.36 ERA). The series has been competitive, with both teams showing solid offensive and pitching strengths headed into this crucial matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle Mariners have demonstrated stronger pitching overall with a lower team ERA and consistency shown by Woo's 2.94 ERA. The Padres have volatile pitching, highlighted by Darvish's 5.36 ERA but possess strong hitting capabilities that can capitalize on any pitching weaknesses.
Recent series play between the two has been close, with the Padres taking a 7-6 victory in the last game on August 27, 2025. Historically competitive with both teams exchanging wins in home and away contexts.
No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or core position players in either team. Mariners report J. Merrill as a minor injury concern but not expected to impact play significantly. Padres have no notable injury setbacks for this game.
The game is being played at Mariners’ home stadium, T-Mobile Park, which generally favors the home team due to park dimensions that support pitching and defensive plays. Weather conditions and travel fatigue are not currently significant factors.
Both teams are motivated to secure momentum in this part of the season, the Mariners aiming to solidify playoff positioning while the Padres seek to keep pace in their division race.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres: +116, Seattle Mariners: -136
Seattle Mariners
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
San Diego Padres: +1.5 -176, Seattle Mariners: -1.5 +146
Seattle Mariners -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 8 -105, Under: 8 -115
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Seattle Mariners at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given stronger pitching performance and home advantage, the Seattle Mariners are slightly favored to win the game. However, the Padres have the offensive tools to challenge and possibly overcome if Darvish can limit early damage.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 5 – 3 San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a key MLB matchup as both teams vie for playoff positioning late in the 2025 regular season. Both teams come off competitive recent performances, with the Dodgers slight favorites according to current moneyline odds.
Key Factors to Consider
The Dodgers have maintained consistent performance throughout the season, featuring strong pitching led by Tyler Glasnow and effective offense. The Padres have also shown resilience, with solid starting pitching from Nestor Cortes and home-field advantage at Petco Park, a pitcher-friendly venue.
Recent encounters indicate a balanced rivalry with competitive games, though the Dodgers have had a slight edge in home games this season. The previous game on August 23rd was highly contested.
No significant injuries have been reported impacting either team's starting pitchers or core lineups for this game.
Weather and field conditions at Petco Park are expected to be optimal, with no rain or extreme temperatures forecasted. Playing at home gives Padres an environmental advantage.
Both teams are highly motivated to secure wins to improve postseason seeding, making this matchup particularly intense.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers: -106, San Diego Padres: -110
Los Angeles Dodgers win
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 152, San Diego Padres: 1.5 -184
San Diego Padres +1.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 7.5: -124, Under 7.5: 102
Under 7.5 runs scored
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers are favored to win narrowly with their stronger pitching staff and recent form, but the Padres are expected to keep the game close at home.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4 – San Diego Padres 3
The San Diego Padres host the San Francisco Giants in an NL West matchup at PETCO Park. The Padres (70-56) are second in the division, coming off a recent 8-1 win over the Giants, while the Giants (61-65) sit fourth. Starting pitchers are Dylan Cease (Padres) with a 5-11 record and 4.61 ERA, and Justin Verlander (Giants) at 1-9 with a 4.23 ERA. Both offenses are capable, with the Padres showing stronger recent form and better win streaks.
Key Factors to Consider
Padres have a better overall record (70-56) with a recent 6-4 last 10 games and a 1-game winning streak. Giants have struggled recently (2-8 last 10) with a 2-game losing streak. Padres' pitching and hitting have been more consistent, while Giants’ offense is less productive and has a higher ERA.
Padres dominated the recent meeting with an 8-1 win on August 20, 2025, showing clear superiority at home. The two teams have a competitive division rivalry, but Padres have held advantage in recent games.
No significant injury updates provided in the data. Starting pitchers are available as listed.
The game is played at PETCO Park, a well-regarded pitchers' park but with recent Padres power shown, evidenced by multiple home runs in the last game. Weather and other external conditions not detailed.
Padres are motivated to strengthen their hold on second place and possibly challenge division leaders. Giants, struggling in the standings, are fighting to improve their season record and avoid further slide.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres: -178, San Francisco Giants: 150
San Diego Padres to win
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
San Diego Padres: -1.5 at +112, San Francisco Giants: +1.5 at -134
San Diego Padres to cover -1.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over: 8 at -110, Under: 8 at -110
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres are favored to win with a predicted score of 5-4. The game is expected to be moderately high scoring, trending over 8 total runs.
The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres face off in a crucial NL West division matchup at Dodger Stadium. Both teams hold identical 69-53 records, with the Dodgers currently leading the division by one game. The Dodgers have been inconsistent recently with a 4-6 last 10 games, while the Padres have a slightly better form at 7-3 in the last 10. Their prior meeting on August 16 resulted in a dominant 6-0 Dodgers win. Starting pitchers are Tyler Glasnow (Dodgers, 3.08 ERA) and Yu Darvish (Padres, 5.61 ERA).
Key Factors to Consider
Dodgers have home advantage and slightly weaker recent form (4-6 last 10) compared to the Padres (7-3 last 10). Dodgers lead NL West by one game. Both teams are tied at 69-53 overall. Dodgers dominated last game 6-0.
Recent series favors Dodgers, with the previous game a decisive 6-0 victory over the Padres. H2H form suggests Dodgers have upper hand especially at home.
Key injury update includes E. Phillips with a forearm injury. No other major injury concerns reported affecting the starting lineups significantly.
Game played at Dodger Stadium favors home team. Weather and other conditions not indicated to impact game notably.
Both teams are competing fiercely for NL West supremacy, with Dodgers looking to extend one-game lead. Padres motivated to improve their standing with a road win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers: -156, San Diego Padres: 132
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
★★★★☆ 80%
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5: 134, San Diego Padres +1.5: -162
Los Angeles Dodgers to cover -1.5 spread
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers favored to win based on home field, recent dominant performance, and starting pitching advantage.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – 3 San Diego Padres