The New York Yankees host the San Diego Padres in a midweek MLB matchup. Both teams are looking to build momentum as the season progresses. The Yankees, playing at home, enter as favorites according to the latest odds.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have generally performed well at home in recent seasons, often with strong pitching and timely hitting. The Padres, while competitive, have had inconsistent road performances and a less dominant starting rotation.
Recent head-to-head matchups have leaned towards the Yankees, especially in games played at Yankee Stadium. Historical records suggest the Yankees have a slight edge, particularly in pitching matchups.
No major injuries reported for either team as of now, but this status can change rapidly leading up to game time. Always check for last-minute roster updates.
Weather is expected to be typical for early May in the Bronx, with moderate temperatures and no significant rain expected. This should not impact the game negatively.
Both teams are highly motivated: the Yankees aim to solidify their standing in the AL East, while the Padres are looking to prove themselves as serious contenders in the NL West despite challenging road series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Yankees -174, San Diego Padres 146
New York Yankees
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
New York Yankees -1.5 (+120), San Diego Padres +1.5 (-144)
San Diego Padres +1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 8 (-106), Under 8 (-114)
Under 8
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Yankees are favored to win at home, with their superior bullpen and recent form expected to edge out the Padres. However, the Padres' lineup can challenge any pitching staff, so a close game is likely.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 4, San Diego Padres 3
The San Diego Padres face the Pittsburgh Pirates in an MLB matchup, with both teams vying for a win. The Padres recently won 2-1 against the Pirates on May 3.
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have shown solid performance, while the Pirates are looking to rebound from their recent loss.
In their last matchup, the Padres secured a close victory over the Pirates.
Key Padres injury news includes potential issues with Yu Darvish due to fatigue, but no major updates on the Pirates side.
Home-field advantage could benefit the Pirates, but the Padres' recent momentum might negate this.
Both teams are highly motivated, given their positioning in the early season.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pirates -112, Padres -104
Padres
β β β ββ 55%
Spread
Pirates +1.5 -196, Padres -1.5 162
Pirates +1.5
β β β ββ 58%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -104, Under 8.5 -118
Under 8.5
β β β ββ 53%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 -2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.1% (Kelly Criterion)
The San Diego Padres host the Tampa Bay Rays in the final game of their series at PETCO Park. The Padres hold a superior record (17-9) and lead the NL West, while the Rays come in with a 12-14 record and are fourth in the AL East. The matchup features Padres' right-handed pitcher R. VΓ‘squez (1-2, 3.97 ERA) against Rays' right-handed pitcher Z. Littell (0-5, 5.28 ERA). Recent games have been tightly contested and low scoring, with the Rays winning the previous game 1-0 via strong pitching and a sacrifice fly run. Both teams are looking to gain momentum with this series finale under mild weather conditions (63Β°F, 11 mph WSW wind).
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have shown strong form this season with a 17-9 record and are first in the NL West, though they have lost their last two games. The Rays have struggled with a 12-14 record but have won their last three games, demonstrating resilience especially in pitching and defense. Offensively, the Padres lead with a .260 batting average and 24 home runs, the Rays have a .252 average and 23 home runs. Pitching-wise, the Rays boast a superior ERA (3.61) vs Padres' 2.80 ERA, but Padresβ offense and home advantage are significant.
In the previous meeting on April 25, the Rays edged the Padres 1-0, highlighted by Shane Bazβs strong pitching and Yandy DΓazβs clutch sacrifice fly. The Padres have struggled offensively in this series, being shut out in one game and held to one run in the other. Historically, the Padres have dominated the season in standings but the Rays have been competitive in direct matchups.
No significant injuries reported affecting the starting lineups of both teams for tonightβs game.
Weather at PETCO Park is mild with 63Β°F temperature and a WSW wind at 11 mph, generally neutral conditions for hitting and pitching. Home field advantage favors the Padres who perform well at PETCO Park.
The Padres seek to reassert dominance after close losses and maintain their leading position in NL West. The Rays aim to capitalize on momentum from their recent wins and continue their surprising series performance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres: -110, Tampa Bay Rays: -106
San Diego Padres
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
San Diego Padres -1.5: -192, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5: 158
San Diego Padres -1.5
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115
Under 8 runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The San Diego Padres are favored to win due to home advantage, better overall season performance, and stronger offensive metrics. However, pitching matchups are close with both starters having mixed results. Expect a low-scoring, tightly contested game likely decided late. Prediction leans towards Padres edging out the Rays.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4 – Tampa Bay Rays 2
The San Diego Padres and Detroit Tigers are set for a crucial MLB match. Padres recently secured a 2-0 win over the Tigers. The Tigers are favored in the moneyline, indicating home advantage and strong recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown strong pitching, but the Tigers' offense might be key at home. The Padres' recent shutout win suggests solid defense and pitching.
Recent history favors the Padres after their shutout win. However, the Tigers are strong at Comerica Park.
No significant injury updates affecting this match were found.
Home field advantage might boost the Tigers, while the Padres' recent win could enhance their confidence.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Tigers might feel more pressure at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -148, away: 126
Detroit Tigers
β β β ββ 60%
Spread
home: -1.5 132, away: 1.5 -162
Detroit Tigers -1.5
β β β ββ 55%
Over/under
over: 8 -122, under: 8 100
Under 8
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Tigers are likely to bounce back from their recent loss, especially at home.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4-2 San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres visit the Houston Astros in a series finale that marks the Astros' 10,000th game in franchise history. Both teams have shown strong performances, with the Padres' Fernando Tatis Jr. on a 20-game on-base streak and the Astros recently benefiting from a go-ahead RBI.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have strong recent performances, with the Astros having shown resilience in tight games and the Padres boasting consistent batting from players like Fernando Tatis Jr.
Recent head-to-heads between the Astros and Padres have been competitive, with each side showcasing their strengths.
No significant injury news is reported for either team, though updates could change this outlook.
Home field advantage might slightly favor the Astros, but both teams are well-traveled and accustomed to different environments.
Both teams are highly motivated entering this match; the Astros are marking a milestone, and the Padres seek to extend their winning ways.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Houston Astros: -118, San Diego Padres: 107
San Diego Padres to win
β β β ββ 55%
Spread
Houston Astros: -1.5 175, San Diego Padres: 1.5 -205
San Diego Padres to cover
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over: 7.5 -116, Under: 7.5 -104
Under 7.5
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Houston Astros 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 6%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Houston Astros at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the strong on-base streak by Fernando Tatis Jr. and the competitive nature of their recent matchups, the Padres have a good chance of securing a win, but the Astros' home field advantage and milestone game motivation might push them to perform well.