Match Analysis: San Diego FC vs San Jose Earthquakes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, USA
Game Overview
San Diego FC, currently leading MLS with a strong attack and solid defense, hosts San Jose Earthquakes who rank 11th with a less efficient defense and lower save percentage.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego FC ranks 1st in MLS with 57 points, averaging 1.84 points per game. They have scored 56 goals and conceded 38 with 10 clean sheets. San Jose Earthquakes sit mid-table (21st in some stats), with a lower save percentage (62.8%) and fewer points (35) reflecting more inconsistent form.
- This season, one prior meeting saw San Diego FC secure the higher position. Historically, San Diego has the advantage in both form and home field.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would affect starting XI or key players; both expected to start their main goalkeepers CJ dos Santos (San Diego) and Daniel (San Jose).
- Game being played at San Diegoβs home ground Snapdragon Stadium provides home advantage. Weather and travel factors do not heavily influence outcomes here.
- San Diego FC is highly motivated to maintain top position and likely push for playoff positioning, while San Jose, sitting mid-table, has less at stake but may play to improve standing and disrupt San Diegoβs momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego FC -144, San Jose Earthquakes +310, Draw +350 | San Diego FC | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | San Diego FC -0.5 -149, San Jose Earthquakes +50 +112 | San Diego FC -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 -109, Under 3.5 -122 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Diego FC 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego FC to win; -0.5 spread cover; Over 3.5 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1